To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (98765 ) 2/13/1999 2:42:00 PM From: h.l. meeks Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 176387
Thread: I've just caught up on this weekend's posts. You folks are living in denial. A high volume gap-down selloff is not a "dip". Forget about the blaming the analyst. If institutions weren't already sitting on tenderhooks, then what accounts for 66MM shares? Anybody notice that interest rates broke their 200DMA on Friday? Highest rate environment since August, and the bond market action is forecasting even higher rates. If you're a longterm Dell investor, then fine---sit back and wait for the shake-out, but to buy right now is just wasting money. What is the market telling you? Dell is a fine company, and Michael Dell is obviously a personal deity to many of you, but to read your posts you're all much smarter than the market. The market's wrong, but you're right. Just can't be. SI threads are full of talk for months about overpriced net-stocks, but here's a laugh: A check of the Yahoo finance page shows PE's for DELL of 108, CSCO 127, MSFT 70, SUNW 48, and ORCL 54. These are the "safe" NASDAQ names! Do any of these stocks have a growth rate that justifies those PE's? The nets have had one leg down, and these stocks have barely budged. They're all too fat, and ripe for a slaughter. The NASDAQ is already shaky technically, and in a higher rate environment none of these stocks can justify their multiples. The path of least resistance is down. If Dell does come in light on revenues, then it just won't be Dell getting shaved a few points; we'll see all these stocks selling off, and since they dominate the index the entire tech market will correct. And you guys can pick up some nice cheap shares of DELL at $55-65. OK bulls, put those blinders back on now, and slam away.