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Politics : Clinton's Scandals: Is this corruption the worst ever? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: D PARKER who wrote (11674)2/13/1999 8:29:00 PM
From: Andrew Martin  Respond to of 13994
 
The "Polls" uncovered:

From the Free Republic

Topic: Media Bias
CBS POLL EXPOSED: 1175 Average Americans = 40% Dem, 35% Ind, 25% GOP?!!?!?!!?

07 January 1999 T.G.

Dear Freepers,

I hope you will not count this as a vanity post. After seeing the CBS
poll that was posted by Marcellus this morning, I could not sit idle.
First, here is the LINK - it will open in a new browser window.

The poll not only gives the overall percentages, it breaks down those
percentages by political party. It also gives the number of
participants: 1175. I'm very rusty on my algebra, but something told
me I could solve this equation and figure out how many people of each
party were polled. Using the information from the first question as
an example:

Do you approve or dissapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his
job as President?

All GOP Dem Ind
Approve 69% 43% 87% 67%
Disapprove 27% 51% 12% 27%
Don't know 4% 6% 1% 6%
Totals 1175 x y z

I converted these to formulas, and went back and forth solving for x
(GOP), y (Dem), and z (Ind). I'll spare you the details, but I
started with something like this (question no. 1 used as an example):

.69(1175) = .43x + .87y + .67z
.27(1175) = .51x + .12y + .27z
.04(1175) = .06x + .01y + .06z
1175 = x + y + z

It was further complicated by the fact that x, y, and z, are whole
numbers, and the percentages could represent a different number of
people. That is, 69% of 1175 people could statistically be be between
806 (68.6%) and 816 (69.4%). So I stuck with the true percentages
when calculating, figuring I'd get statistically close! After a
little trial and error, I determined that the following numbers
worked out well (the totals held up when I analyzed other poll
questions):

GOP - 290
Dem - 472
Ind - 413

Apparantly, CBS has determined that a representative sample of
Americans is 40% Democrat, 35% Independent, and 25% Republican. So
that means you've got at least 75% of the poll-takers as liberal,
confused (not sure exactly what "Independent" means here), brain-dead,
or all of the above. Now you know why approval ratings stay so high!

Below is the breakdown of question no. 1, using my totals:

All GOP(x) Dem(y) Ind (z)
Approve .69(1175) .43(290) .87(472) .67(413)
Disapprove .27(1175) .51(290) .12(472) .27(413)
Don't know .04(1175) .06(290) .01(472) .06(413)
Totals 1175 290 472 413

Again, the actual number of people may vary (per cell), but they
statistically all match the percentage totals given on the poll
question. And all total 1175. Here it is with the math worked out:

All GOP(x) Dem(y) Ind(z)
Approve 813 125 411 277
Disapprove 317 148 57 112
Don't know 45 17 4 24
Totals 1175 290 472 413

Please note: I believe my numbers are very close if not the same as
the actual breakdown. However, considering the problem with
percentages - that they can represent different numbers of people,
and also that I checked several, but by no means all of the poll
questions, I could be slightly off in my calculations.

----------------------------------------------------------------------
source:http://www.FreeRepublic.com/index.html (Search under "Media
Bias" case sensitive).

"A nation of well informed men who have been taught to know and
prize the rights which God has given them cannot be enslaved. It is
in the region of ignorance that tyranny begins.
" - Benjamin Franklin



To: D PARKER who wrote (11674)2/13/1999 8:31:00 PM
From: Catfish  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13994
 
Dparker,
This is tragic.

Darrell