To: Earlie who wrote (47129 ) 2/15/1999 10:20:00 AM From: gbh Respond to of 132070
Earlie, not sure how I can be "dead wrong", which would imply you are "dead right", when in fact, the only way this could be possible is if a company actually ever whispered in your ear. Yours is an "opinion" just like mine."downward revisions" occur in the last few weeks before the numbers come out, then check as to whether there was a public comment made. I've done this for many moons. I agree with you. But you state yourself, "few weeks before". My point exactly. Two days before? The company would have certainly known revs would be shy by the middle of Jan. And the stock has been inflated well before then. If they played the game brilliantly, the company's numbers will slightly exceed Nile's figure, and there will be a small sigh of relief. Niles won't suffer,....after all, he was both right (calling it down) and close (a bit too low). One has to be in tune with Wall Street's superb understanding of human psychology. This was Dave Kansas' assertion, to the letter. I'm admittedly not "in tune with Wall Street" re: psychology, but perhaps you and he are a little too in tune with Oliver Stone <g>.When a company's stock is at these levels, any indication that revs won't be as expected can be devastating. Let's cut to the chase here. This quarter's rev/eps/receivables/etc. mean very little (as usual). Your assertion of "secret midnight" phone calls to gently manipulate the stock, would seem to imply that the CC will be extremely positive with regards to future rev and eps growth. If not, what's the point of this clandestine activity? If the future ain't bright, the gentle landing theory would seem to be even less plausible. Now there I go, playing amateur psychologist again <g>. Gary