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To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (40197)2/15/1999 9:05:00 PM
From: GST  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Sarmad-- what it means is that the odds have shifted against you being short -- not to say that this will help AMZN, but this is definitely an attempt to reduce the impact of the BOJ not playing ball on buying in bonds. If you notice, it is the MOF, not the Bank of Japan taking this action. So I think it is, as I said, damage control, and not a reversal of the BOJ position. The March year end is a factor for other reasons -- not the most important factor. All in all, this does more to muddy the water than to create a clear picture -- bottom line: cover more aggressively to reduce your exposure. For what its worth, the market could now go either way. It is less of a 'sure thing'. There were other reasons for a sharp pullback -- they are still there -- but this was the 200 pound straw on the camels back -- hate to see it being partly removed.



To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (40197)2/15/1999 9:18:00 PM
From: GST  Respond to of 164684
 
Sarmad--<Does that mean the US bull market will march to higher levels ?> No. The yen is moving up, but after a short covering rally on the yen we will have to see if this has legs. It means the bull market in bonds might be back -- but remember, bonds and stocks do not always move together. As I said last week, this week the watchword will be asset reallocation -- stocks to bonds. It is coming faster and harder than it would have otherwise be happening. The knee jerk reaction will be a pop in both stocks and bonds. But this is still likely to be a rally to sell.