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Strategies & Market Trends : The Thread Formerly Known as No Rest For The Wicked -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MARK C. who wrote (13228)2/16/1999 4:43:00 AM
From: Neil H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 90042
 
MarkC

Similar sentiment from Cramer column yesterday

Excerps:

Now I am thinking that the same thing is going to happen with
The Stocks Everybody Loves, or TSEL. Yep, we are seeing
cracks in TSEL. Dell (DELL:Nasdaq) gets knocked over by a
feather, an analyst number cut. Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq) trades
awfully. Intel (INTC:Nasdaq) is hostage to whoever whispers
last. And I am long these stocks! Can you imagine what the
bears are saying!

But contrary to what everybody would believe, I think this
defrocking of the leadership might be good news because it
could lead to other sectors and other stocks doing well. We
have all played TSEL to the hilt. We have taken the multiples
about as far as they can go without being Japan 1989. We
have embraced the cult of management personality to the
point where if one of the top honchos of TSEL were to leave
or fall ill, it would take the whole company's stock down with
him.

So, I think the big surprise of this current move is that when
The Stocks Everybody Loves get hammered, other stocks will
not follow this leadership.



Unfortunately, this bull market has gotten way too narrow. We
need to see people willing to leave big-cap growth and find
other names. That's what is happening now.

If you are long TSEL, do you have to abandon ship? As
always, I can only tell you what I am doing. I have scaled back
my positions in TSEL. I have cash on the sidelines. And I am
awaiting a leadership switch to less inflated stocks. In the
meantime, if TSEL keeps ramping,