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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: donald sew who wrote (6391)2/16/1999 10:35:00 AM
From: uclatrader  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
don
r u more bearish than bullish
i m pleased by the broad market rally so far
let's see if we can hold on to it till the close
but disappointed by the performance of internets
maybe they need more time to get back momentum
what is your upper channel for dow
thanx
shuo



To: donald sew who wrote (6391)2/16/1999 10:37:00 AM
From: uclatrader  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
also the market looks very tierd now
early steam is fading
it will be interesting to watch its close
shuo



To: donald sew who wrote (6391)2/16/1999 10:41:00 AM
From: Challo Jeregy  Respond to of 99985
 
Thanks, Donald.
Since anything I would want to buy was up high at the open, I wouldn't consider buying in right now. If you get your class 1 sell, I'll put.

I had to play catch up on the thread this week-end. Great analysis to all these past 3 days.

Since I don't have anything to offer, I'll play cheerleader<G>



To: donald sew who wrote (6391)2/16/1999 10:44:00 AM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Donald,

the only problem with technicals today is the overwhelming news due out after close today. With DELL, HWP and AMAT reporting, they will move the market tomorrow regardless of what charts say today.

My guess is DELL's report will be confusing, with earnings meeting expectations and the future up to interpretation.

There is almost no chance that AMAT will disappoint in terms of numbers. If they do not meet estimates, they will simply use "one time charge offs". The street will interpret it as positive news, no paying attention to the fact that AMAT is already trading at 2003 prices, providing all goes well between now and then.

HWP is a wild card. Together with MOT, these two probably rank 1 and 2 in terms of worst managed high tech company in the last few years. How they performed last qtr is anyone's guess.

Now if all three came in with better than expected news, I think the rally will be prolonged with new found optimism. On the other hand, if they are less than robust, puts in any tech stocks would be royally rewarded.

If you think my scenario is possible, what would you suggest as the best play today, or should we wait for tomorrow?

Ramsey