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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (40465)2/16/1999 6:59:00 PM
From: Jan Crawley  Respond to of 164684
 
Here here, Michelle, I am opening the bottle!!



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (40465)2/16/1999 7:31:00 PM
From: GST  Respond to of 164684
 
Don't Shed a Tear for Dell
By James J. Cramer
2/16/99 7:03 PM ET

First, stop denying it. The quarter wasn't any good.
Second, accept it and move on, there are other
opportunities out there. Third, stop being angry, Dell's
(DELL:Nasdaq) been a great stock, made people a lot of money.

Yeah, it's like a death in the financial family, this Dell
unraveling. And it is painful. Suddenly because Dell
disappointed we have to care about the multiple, and
the multiple, up here, is still way too high for a
disappointment. (For me, the pain at least has a finite
quality to it. I am stopped out by using a call option
instead of a common strategy, driven by fears put into
my head, quite rightly, by Dan Niles in last week's big
heads up. Still a big loss, but not life-threatening.)

Still, it is hard to deny that this Dell and
Hewlett-Packard (HWP:NYSE) combo -- yes, HWP
disappointed too -- can do anything but clobber the market.

Oh, and by the way, the Dell split is kind of like paper
-- except the market's got scissors, not
rock!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! It was almost an insult to those on the
call.

I wanted to get this bulletin out to people tonight
because I am sure there is a lot of confusion about
how a stock like Dell could be so clobbered by what
looked like an in-line number. But what happened
here is that Dell missed the revenue number, and the
revenues don't lie. People will interpret this number as
a sign that the industry at best is very competitive
and at worst is slowing. Neither makes for good longs
in the group.

But that gets back to the top paragraph of this piece.
The unraveling of TSEL, The Stocks Everybody Loves,
is happening right before our eyes, right now, on our
screens.

Yet there are segments of this market, cheap
segments of this market, that are crying out to be
bought. They just aren't in personal computers.

I am heeding that cry, and I am not going to shed a
tear for Dell. Dell made me darn good money. Time to
find the next one.




To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (40465)2/17/1999 9:23:00 AM
From: H James Morris  Respond to of 164684
 
>>Dell or you guys are giving me that same headache... time for wine<<
You should drink no wine. Until it's time.
I guess it was your time.
If you like wine. You should talk to Mark Fowler. Other than Internets. He's our guru, producing wine. In Lodi Calif.