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Technology Stocks : MRV Communications (MRVC) opinions? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Yong who wrote (12209)2/17/1999 11:27:00 PM
From: Ugachaka  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42804
 
Yong, I fully support your position. There was a CC question about the $3.1 million write-off propping up future numbers. CFO expressed his stance in accordance with your analysis. He was cautious, though.



To: Yong who wrote (12209)2/18/1999 12:49:00 AM
From: Edward Leinbach  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42804
 
Problems :

Sept 97 - secondary goes off great around 36 a share.
Selected members of management walk away multi-millionaires.

At the time Gruntal had 1.25 for 98 & 1.75 for 99.

Spring of 98 Xyplex acquired - I think this surprised just about
all the analyst.

August 98 Noam gives glowing conference call. Inventories have risen
sharply , but this is due to "Expanded lead times in Europe" & needed for a hot upcoming 4th quarter. Noam stated the 4th quarter was going to be "down right exciting" ( guess he was right aye ) .

Fall of 98 MRVC is rushing around desperately trying to raise
200 million in cash despite having about 60 mil in cash .
Ends up no takers at 200 mil , but 100 mil was secured.
This also surprised analyst ! What do they want 100 mil for ?
As usual MRVC doesn't think the shareholders need to be privy to what
they are planing for the business going forward.

Surprise Oct 98 MRVC warns of upcoming revenue shortfall , on the worst possible Nasdaq downday available. Stock tanks.

3rd Quarter conference call - Noam expressly guided 99 eps at .35 to .45
range strongly favoring the .45 range.

4th - quarter - the inventories they stated they purposely ramped
were pushed out the door at discount prices , hint( high revenue, low margin , no profit ) with a chunk being written off entirely.
Opps - more excess write-offs to expense.

99 eps have now been lowered to .12 ( a far cry from 1.75 )
Their new products are tucked away into start up companies .
Of which they are not willing to discuse due to NonDisclosure
agreements. Why are their best products not just developed in house , answer : Managemnet hopes to clean up again off new options
programs when they IPO or acquire the companies - more millions for
management.

As far as 00 eps , how could anyone trust gruntals projections or
MRVC's ability not to screw things up farther.

Noam has mislead the street & the shareholders quite a few times,
Now its time to pay the piper.

I heard MRVC owns a Whore House down in Beliz , that they will expense
into R&D . However this can't be confirmed since they have a
Non-Disclosure agreement with the Beliz secret service.

Rule 1 : when management proves they can not be trusted ,
exit stage left, & find another investment vehicle.

Rule 2 : Never forget rule 1 .

What has MRVC really gotten from Xyplex , it has cost them about 80%
of their market cap. Pretty expensive.

They need a CEO who nows how to run a business, perhaps someone from this board could apply for the position ... Please !

Oh a better name for their new startup would have been
"Tangled Web "