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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (102352)2/17/1999 11:22:00 PM
From: Perry Ganz  Respond to of 176387
 
TO ALL DELL LONGS
Just seen on NBR Ford is standardizing computers all DELL
straight out of Michaels mouth
Won't help short term but I'm long
Perry



To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (102352)2/17/1999 11:28:00 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176387
 
Probably some stuffing, somewhere happened with Compaq in 4Q....(but, obviously not to the extent of last year)...Along with improved pricing regime, I agree that this (Compaq unstuffing) should help Dell in Q1,.(IBM too unstuffing)...



To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (102352)2/18/1999 12:11:00 AM
From: jim kelley  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 176387
 
CTC,

Take a look at the sequential growth in worldwide server shipments:
(IDC numbers)

Worlwide Server Shipments Q4-98

Rank Units Seq Growth
1 Compaq 242,778 34.0%
2 IBM 109,454 15.3%
3 HWP 92,966 13.0%
4 Dell 69,184 9.7%

All Vendors 714,621 30%

It looks like CPQ stuffed a lot of servers during the quarter.
Perhaps this is why their A/R is so huge. The tell the dealers they do not have to pay for them until they sell them? We do not know for sure because as potential shareholders we get a steady ration of BS.

The truth will out in due course. But CPQ could have made their quarter by stuffing an extra months worth of inventory into the channels. So I suspect that they drop off in business will be more than 12%. I am still waiting for their 10-K. Perhaps it will be ready by the end of Q-2?

GTW is easier to analyze. They used their Country stores and advertising to sell a boatload of PC's to consumers. They have also been using aggressive pricing in that arena. They have also announced that they expect earnings to drop sharply to 51 cents in Q1 due to the seasonality of consumer sales.

Regards,

Jim Kelley