To: Freedom Fighter who wrote (1307 ) 2/19/1999 1:13:00 PM From: Daniel Chisholm Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1722
Hi Wayne,In the case of the cable business, some of the capital expenditures are one time events as the infrastructure is laid down. I know what you're saying, but this sounds too aggressive to me. I was reading Philip Caret's excellent book The Art of Speculation (written in 1930), and he made a similar argument for various aspects of railroad infrastructure, e.g. right of way costs. Even though there may be hundred-year-old rights of way that are serviceable today in spite of not having seen any capital expenditures on them in this century, I would think that a conservative investor ought to depreciate such things against assign some sort of "expected company life" or "expected industry life span" if such lifetimes are less than the lifetime of the asset. To assume in 1885 that rights of way would never wear out, and that by around the time the railway industry became totally obsolete the rights of way would still be valuable as a nationwide fiber optice network needed building, seems to be unrealistic, even though this is sort of an (unforseeable) happy ending. I was reading a 1997 Norfolk Southern annual report yesterday, and noticed that they had about $350 million of bonds due in 2097. I recall that some 19th century hundred-year railways bonds recently (last 10-20 years) came due, and it is truly amazing when one reflects how much the world has changed from (say) 1880-1980. It seems inconceivable to me to assign anything other than a "junk" rating to bonds of this duration, especially when we have such a good example of how totally the landscape of an industry can change over the course of a century.So one could really question how much of the depreciation should really be charged to earnings to begin with. Inflation or not some infrastructure will not be replaced. This is a rare business. I certainly don't have the answer here. But I believe it is an issue and difference as it relates to the discussion. How about simply considering it to be equivalent to (say) a mine, where one is consuming an asset in order to generate income (and this is not an irresponsible practice, rather it is the nature of the business). - Daniel