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To: Sonny McWilliams who wrote (22850)2/22/1999 2:02:00 AM
From: Technician  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 27012
 
Futures were up Friday as well, this market does not have any juice,the techs have traded like they are suffering from anemia.

INTC has successively set lower highs and lower lows and its down days volumes has been higher. The chart looks
bad too, whereas MSFT, CSCO, NAZ, IBM, INDU and SP500
are all trading below their 50 D moving avg, INTC
has been closing just above or below it. The stocastics
are negative on all the above charts as well and the MACD
indicates the beginning of a down trend, INTC has a high
of 143 and there is nothing which says that INTC will
move decisively on high volume towards that target.

conclusion:

while it seems that the techs are vulnerable to a free fall, the smart money will from time to time rescue
them on any positives such as the FEDS bias towards
rates etc; so expect more of the same (i.e) 122 to
130 trading range for INTC.

Any significant move of the 30 year T bills yield towards
6.0 and you could see INTC at 100, the fundamentals are
in place but price cuts and stiff tech sector competition
neutaralize this positive.

I expect INTC to move higher after is split and keep moving higher after its earnings report in mid APR, until
then we are locked in this trading range with a dangerous
downward bias depending on interest rates.



To: Sonny McWilliams who wrote (22850)2/22/1999 12:15:00 PM
From: musea  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27012
 
Sonny,

Apparently the news about AMD and Intel helped GTW the most. But I can't complain. I'm glad I took the weekend off.

If we can hold the prices we are seeing right now, I will be quite pleased for the day.

-musea