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To: Brian K Crawford who wrote (104108)	2/23/1999 8:14:00 AM
From: Mark Peterson CPA	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 176387

**OT Brian, we need your help** IMHO, you appear to be having trouble with investment analysis and presenting your point of view in a manner that can be readily understood by participants on this thread. Unfortunately, when I perused your profile, I noticed that you inadvertently omitted a substantial amount of factual disclosures, a practice that is remarkably similar to the way you post on this thread. In order for the thread members to better understand your background, may I respectfully ask you to supply the following information? Real Name:______________________ ________Jim Bob ________Tom Bob ________Joe Bob ________Billy Bob ________Jay Bird (but my friends call me Jayyyy) Age: ___________________________ Shoe size (left): __________________ Shoe size (right): __________________ Occupation: ________Thread Moron ________Analyst ________Parking Lot Attendant ________Investment Advisor ________Thread Lurker ________Head of Your School's Investment Club ________Provocateur ________Submissive and Willing Partner Looking for Others ________Unemployed Spouses Name: _____________________ Relationship with spouse: ________Sister ________Brother ________Aunt ________Uncle ________Cousin ________Mother ________Father ________Son ________Daughter ________Pet Number of children living in household: ____________ Number that are yours: ____________ Mother's Name: ________________________________ Father's Name: _________________________________ (If not sure, leave blank) Education: 1 2 3 4 (Circle highest grade completed) Do you (____) own or (____) rent your mobile home? Total number of vehicles you own : __________ Total number of vehicles that still crank : __________ Number of vehicles in front yard : __________ Number of vehicles in back yard : __________ Number of vehicles on cement blocks : __________ Recent procedures by your physician: ___________ Rectal exam ___________ Frontal lobotomy ___________ Nip and tuck ___________ Removal of cerebral hairballs ___________ The Lorraine Bobbitt "short cut" ___________ Grade school physical (turn your head, now, cough…) ___________ Still waiting to have my head examined… Your personality profile: ___________ Passive-aggressive ___________ Clueless (participation on this thread just exacerbates the condition) ___________ Just angry all the time ___________ Annoying ___________ Investor with learning disabilities ___________ Too stupid to know Firearms you own and where you keep them: In my truck : __________ In my bedroom : __________ In the bathroom : __________ In the kitchen : __________ In the shed : __________ Model and year of your pickup: __________________ 194___. Do you have a gun rack? ______ Yes ______ No (please explain) Preferred method of picking stocks: ___________ Hot tip from my broker ___________ Ouiji board ___________ Recommendation from Money Magazine ___________ Tea leaves ___________ Ask the 15 year old kid from New Jersey ___________ SI Café recommendations ___________ Psychics on-line Why are you on this thread? ___________ Looking for friends ___________ Freeloading and don't want to admit it ___________ Venting my hostile tendencies ___________ Handicapped and need a place to park ___________ Fantasizing about stocks is better than sex ___________ Dispensing worthless investment advice ___________ Engaging in self-destructive behavior ___________ Hyping my holdings in Bavarian Ovarian Meat Business (BOMB) ___________ Trolling for subscribers to my stock investment newsletter ___________ Can't think of anything else to do ___________ Need a dose of intellectual honesty ___________ Just killing time while waiting for the mother ship ___________ Don't have a woman upstairs waiting for me ___________ Bashing stocks I can't afford to buy ___________ Short of running the mafia, this thread is as good as it gets ___________ Practicing my writing skills ___________ The guards let me ___________ Trying to use up my 20 free hours a month ___________ Need a place to take my crap and then leave ___________ General sophistry purposes Who is your favorite CNBC investment commentator? ___________ Silvia "Broom Hilda" Wadhwa (Frankfurt) ___________ Ron "Brillcream" Insana ___________ Joe "Pompador" Kernan ___________ Jim "Frog Eyes" Cramer ___________ David "I'm Sooo Smart and I Know It" Faber ___________ Mark "They Don't Pay Me Enough to Do This" Haines What is your investment style? ___________ Mo-Mo ___________ Disco trading ___________ Buy high, sell low ___________ Sheep in the herd ___________ Averaging down ___________ Getting back to even ___________ Jetstreaming ___________ March to the beat of a different drummer ___________ Short and proud of it What internet developments are most exciting to you: ___________ Sears selling appliances over the net ___________ Prodigy Classic ___________ email ___________ On-line chat rooms ___________ Merrill Lynch on-line trading ___________ Yahoo personal ads When was the last time you had an original idea? ___________ What do you mean by that ___________ Never had one before ___________ It's been so long I can't remember What is the latest technology upgrade you have made? ___________ Replaced a light bulb ___________ Installed "The Club" on my steering wheel ___________ Upgraded the beads on my abacus ___________ Went shopping for work boots ___________ Bought a tape rewinder for my VCR ___________ Hooked up a window fan ___________ Recently ordered the George Foreman "Grilling Machine" What does the chair in front of your computer look like? ___________ Puffy styrofoam bean bag ___________ The white porcelain one in the bathroom ___________ Three legged stool ___________ Plastic deck lounger ___________ Don't have a computer ___________ Recline-O-Matic ___________ Still saving for one Newspapers/magazines you subscribe to: ________ The National Enquirer ________ The Globe ________ TV Guide ________ Soap Operage Digest ________ Guns & Ammo Electronic devices you own: ___________ Remote control ___________ Weed wacker ___________ Water heater ___________ Wrist watch with lighted dial ___________ Transistor radio ___________ Makita sawsall ___________ Dial telephone ___________ Vibrator ___________ Electronic grill ignition system ___________ Atari computer ___________ Garage door opener Modem speed: ___________ 2.4 K per second ___________ Don't have a phone ___________ Woooaahh. What's a modem? ___________ Use walkie-talkies instead What do you do for entertainment: ___________ Just hang out ___________ Fish and cut bait ___________ Look at the pictures in girlie magazines ___________ Go bowling with the team ___________ Polish my Weber kettle ___________ Peruse the Victoria's Secret web-site in my shorts ___________ Change the oil in my driveway ___________ Aerate my compost pile Number of times you've seen a UFO : ____________ Number of times you've seen Elvis : ____________ Number of times you've seen Elvis in a UFO : ____________ What are your previous real estate investments: ____________ Time share condo ____________ Desert with great view ____________ Swamp land ____________ Condo conversion reconverted to apartments What plant does your character most closely resemble: ____________ Diffembachia ____________ Prickly pear cactus ____________ Dutch elm (diseased) ____________ Crab grass ____________ The dead ones on my kitchen counter What is the best trade you ever made: ____________ Food stamps for baseball cards ____________ Stock tips for Beanie babies ____________ Brains for scrapple ____________ Manners for attitude ____________ Bought Dell at $109/share ____________ Shorted Ebay at $36/share ____________ Haven't started trading yet (not old enough) What is your favorite saying: ____________ This pig of a stock… ____________ Like totally, for sure…. ____________ Ho,ho,ho… ____________ If only I bought Dell in 1995… ____________ What do the "up" arrows mean… ____________ Yeah, un-huh, right, right, right… ____________ Where is that dog with fleas… ____________ Does anybody have real-time quotes… Where did you see your latest bubble: ____________ In a pot (boiling water bubble) ____________ In the bath tub (soap bubble) ____________ In the garden (the tulip thing) ____________ In the mirror (chewing gum bubble) ____________ In a tar pit (end of the dinosaur thing) How often do you bathe: _________ Weekly _________ Monthly _________ Don't Have Any Indoor Plumbing _________ Not Applicable Color of teeth: _________ Yellow _________ Brownish - Yellow _________ Brown _________ Black _________ Don't have them any more Brand of chewing tobacco you prefer: _________ Red-Man How far is your trailer from a paved road? _________ 1 mile _________ 2 miles _________ Don't know We appreciation your participation on this thread. The information you provide will help us better understand the circumstances that support your point of view. No doubt that after you learn how to read, write, spell, and count, we can look forward with anticipation to reviewing your posts… Best regards, Mark A. Peterson

To: Brian K Crawford who wrote (104108)	2/23/1999 8:19:00 AM
From: Mohan Marette	Respond to of 176387

<U.S.Economy>Yeah nice try Hawkins,where the hell is Humphrey? Now here is the real deal. ======================= <B.Greenspan Likely to Signal Steady Monetary Policy in Testimony to Congress Washington, Feb. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan will probably tell Congress today that the U.S. economy is set to roll non-stop toward the longest-running expansion in the nation's history, analysts said. Greenspan's message isn't likely to differ from two weeks ago, when he dubbed the economy ''the envy of the world'' during an appearance before Congress. Stocks and bonds gained yesterday on expectations that the Fed chairman's testimony would signal no change in interest-rate policy for now. The economy has expanded at a greater than 3 percent pace in each of the past three years -- growing at a 6 percent or better annual rate in the final three months of 1998. Unemployment in January held at a 28-year low of 4.3 percent and inflation has stayed below 2 percent for each of the last two years. ''The U.S. economy continues to sizzle, far outperforming expectations,'' said Allen Sinai, chief global economist at Primark Decision Economic, Inc., in New York. The Senate Banking Committee will hear from Greenspan at 10 a.m. Washington time in the first installment of the Fed chairman's twice-yearly economic forecast to Congress. A subcommittee of the House Banking Committee will hear a reprise of Greenspan's testimony on Wednesday. The economy powered ahead for all last year at a 3.9 percent pace, matching 1997's growth rate, as consumer spending registered its strongest gain in 14 years. Manufacturing was the only victim of weak global economic conditions as exports dried up. Factories couldn't raise prices either for fear of suffering lost market share. Risk to Exports There's still a risk that weak global economies will take more of a bite out of U.S. export growth. And Greenspan will probably signal that the economy's growth rate will slow this year as exports stay weak, corporate profit growth cools and business investment slows, said analysts. Last year, that was the Fed's view. In July 1998, the Fed projected growth for 1999 would come in between 2 percent and 2.5 percent. The Fed said then that demand for U.S. exports will be sluggish as global economies struggle to boost economic growth. The Fed also said it expected housing activity and business investment in new plants and equipment to moderate this year. Still, the Fed chairman will probably say the risks to the U.S. economy ''are evenly balanced -- no harm, no foul,'' said Tim O'Neill, chief economist for Harris Bank and the Bank of Montreal in Toronto. Low inflation, low interest rates, high consumer confidence, strong income growth and a sturdy labor market will probably keep the economy on track. In April the current expansion -- already the longest in peacetime -- will begin it's ninth year. Productivity Gains There's little concern the economy will overheat because worker productivity is showing gains. As recently as Feb. 11, Greenspan stressed that productivity improvements are keeping inflation in check. He'll probably echo that theme today, analysts said. ''The economy is growing quite robustly by all appearances, but at the same time we have no evidence of either rising actual inflation or intensifying inflation expectations at this point,'' Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Alfred Broaddus told reporters Monday before a speech in Norfolk, Virginia. Confidence that tame inflation will keep the Fed from pushing up the overnight bank lending rate has also helped stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 213 points, or 2.3 percent, yesterday to close at 9552.68 -- within 91 points of its record close on Jan. 8. ''We don't think it's likely Greenspan will increase rates in the face of slowing economies worldwide,'' said Frank James, president of James Investment Research Inc., which oversees $700 million. ''Rates on the 10- and 30-year bonds are likely to decline.'' Bond Yields Decline Yesterday, the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond fell 4 basis points to 5.35 percent. Lower bond yields tend to help stocks because they make it cheaper for companies to borrow money for expansion. Stocks ''are being helped as bond yields pull back with no inflation in the U.S.,'' said Stephen Dalton, who manages $1.7 billion in growth stocks for First Union Corp.'s First Capital Corp. The U.S. economy began this year with a big head of steam. Gross domestic product may have increased in excess of a 6 percent annual rate during the fourth quarter, according to economists. The government previously estimated that GDP grew at a 5.6 percent rate in the final three months of last year and will issue its first revision to that estimate on Friday. In December, the current period of economic growth that started in April 1991 became the longest peacetime expansion on record, passing the 92-month Reagan-era expansion. The only longer expansion, 106 months between 1961 and 1969, coincided with the buildup for the Vietnam War, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research Inc., which has collected data back to 1854. If the expansion survives another year, into February 2000, it will surpass that record. Greenspan presents the central bank's economic forecast to Congress twice a year, as mandated by the Humphrey-Hawkins Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act. bloomberg.com

To: Brian K Crawford who wrote (104108)	2/23/1999 8:21:00 AM
From: Sophia Ashley	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 176387

BRIAN, GET A LIFE!!!!!! :) Sophia