To: Purpleman who wrote (9834 ) 2/23/1999 3:41:00 PM From: Marc Newman Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14266
Re: predictability. It seems to me that if we run up substantially before earnings, we sell off some. If we don't, we go up afterwards. That's not bad for predictability. There's even more certainty that THQ will beat analyst estimates by a decent margin. Therefore, I think the report will be good, the cc will ease the concerns about console transitions and non-WCW income, and we'll move up afterwards. The nice thing about this time in the quarter is that we learn all sorts of interesting facts. In just the last two weeks-- Sinistar is tied to the PIII chip and is on pace for release as expected First Strike (a stealth title we knew nothing about) is due for OEM release soon and is also "tied" to the PIII THQ's IR confirms that even if WWF doesn't count on the revenue line, revenues should increase 20% this year from last Rugrats has been extended through 2002 (this should've been worth a $5 pop if people knew what a big deal this was) THQ has had the ECW license for the better part of a year and likely can now sell it off for a nice profit Probable WWF releases for the year are the N64 and GB versions, coming in November (as per the JAKK's earnings cc today) TRSTS is adding five retailers including etoys to its survey list (found by Fender on the AOL board). Rugrats has been #1 on etoys' list for weeks. And of course we learned that TRSTS shows three THQ titles in the top twenty. I don't know which is better, beating out Zelda for number one or having three times the top 20 titles of any other third party publisher. Ie, the FA news is amazing. Also, E3 is only 80 days away and will further cement the back half of the 1999 release schedule. Marc