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To: Timothy Liu who wrote (16516)2/23/1999 9:15:00 PM
From: Chas  Respond to of 93625
 
Robbie Stephens Notebook: Rambus
Confirms Intel Delay
By TSC Staff

2/23/99 3:13 PM ET

SAN FRANCISCO -- Tuesday
morning at the BancBoston
Robertson Stephens Tech '99
Conference, Rambus
(RMBS:Nasdaq) CFO Gary Harmon
seemed to confirm that Intel
(INTC:Nasdaq) will push back its rollout of the
Rambus-based Camino chip set.

"Intel has said that they will be releasing a Rambus chipset
this year," said Harmon. "We think that at the Intel
Developer Forum -- starting today in Palm Springs, Calif. --
Intel will refine that to the second half of the year."

Camino is the singlemost important product to Rambus -- a
company with a $1.8 billion market cap and, thus far, few
products to its name. This was underscored by Harmon's
admission that some 50 Rambus engineers -- one-third of its
workforce -- are tied up working with Intel.

Nonetheless, Robertson Stephens analyst Dan Niles said
it's not an issue. "Our view on Intel is that they slip shipping
deadlines," said Niles. "So today they will put a stake in the
ground on when the slip will be. This is a long-term story."

As Harmon spoke in San Francisco, some 600 miles to the
south in Palm Springs, Intel exec Pat Gelsinger
demonstrated a next-generation system that included
Rambus technology. But the real McCoy, he admitted, won't
be "ramping" until the second half of the year.

"We believe the full set of platform components begins in the
third quarter of this year," Gelsinger said. Delays for
Rambus-powered laptop computers will be even longer.
"Rambus for mobile computers will be ready shortly after, or
very late this year or early next year," he said.

Some investors are sure to be disappointed with the news.
Shares of Rambus rallied briefly as high as 82 1/2 after the
presentation but gave up those gains in midday trading,
when they were down 5% at 78 1/8.

-- Cory Johnson in San Francisco and Marcy Burstiner in
Palm Springs

Vantive's New Hire

In an eager attempt to woo investors back onto its
bandwagon, front-office software maker Vantive
(VNTV:Nasdaq) scooped itself at the BancBoston
conference. CEO John Luongo let it slip that Vantive will
announce next Monday it has stolen away Guy DuBois from
Sybase (SYBS:Nasdaq) to head Vantive's international
operations.

"I think I can probably say this," Luongo said. "On Monday,
we're going to announce that Guy DuBois, vice president of
Sybase Europe, will be our new head of international."
Luongo, who was named CEO late last month, also said the
company is "actively recruiting a vice president of North
America."

Vantive needs some good news. The stock declined 25% in
the week following its fourth-quarter earnings, when
license-revenue growth was lower than expected. The
addition to management should help, but investors would
have rather seen a fresh face in the more troubled North
American operations.

Vantive's international sales grew 30% in the fourth quarter,
accounting for 27% of total revenue, while the domestic side
lagged, CFO Len LeBlanc said. "This year and next year,
international will still probably grow faster than domestic," he
said.

But that wasn't good enough for investors now who want
more immediate returns. They noted that LeBlanc also said
the company's goal of operating margins of 14% to 17% and
gross margins of 77% to 80% may still take a couple of
years to reach. Vantive's fourth-quarter operating margins
were 6%, and gross margins were 73% because of
lower-than-expected license revenue growth and higher
consulting revenue increases. License fees have a higher
margin than consulting fees.

So even with the company's new face, investors say they are
not yet ready to jump in again because results could still be
a long way from emerging.

-- Medora Lee

What Landis Likes

Fresh from the Legato Systems (LGTO:Nasdaq)
presentation Monday morning at the BancBoston
conference, Firsthand funds manager Kevin Landis called
the network storage software maker's story "impressive" but
said he hasn't pulled the trigger on a buy yet. "The stock's
pricey," he said.

Legato is in a kind of "Coke-and-Pepsi" war with competing
storage software maker Veritas Software (VRTS:Nasdaq),
said Landis. He's keeping a watchful eye on Legato, which
he said just "might be the Coke."

While Landis has long preferred to play the Internet from the
ground up, investing in "infrastructure" companies such as
Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq) and Texas Instruments
(TXN:NYSE), he did buy America Online (AOL:NYSE) last
summer for his $50 million Technology Leaders fund
"immediately after, it announced the Netscape
(NSCP:Nasdaq) deal," he said.

The manager said the Internet service firm has demonstrated
its ability to keep customers loyal, unlike online retailer
Amazon.com (AMZN:Nasdaq), which Landis said has so far
failed to convince him it possesses an "enduring competitive
advantage."

Landis' $150 million Technology Value fund is up 24.5% over
the past 12 months; Technology Leaders is up 74.9% in the
same time period, according to Lipper.

Landis has been doing the rounds at the Tech '99 conference
armed with a five-pack of color highlighters to organize his
schedule of preferred company presentations: green for
"know-it-and-love-it" companies; pink for companies whose
"tires deserve kicking"; yellow for "nothing-better-to-do"
companies; purple and blue for private meetings.