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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Vitas who wrote (6950)2/24/1999 6:02:00 AM
From: bearshark  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Vitas:

Thanks for posting your note. The five-day ARMs reading worked once consistently from about 10/97 to 1/98. Other than that the 5-day ARMs is inconsistent at best. I posted a study back then that shows a number of wrong indications given by the 5-day ARMs.

The best way to use an ARMs reading covering a period of time is to first take apart the computation and understand it. Although I consider the 5-day ARMs of no value in the traditional sense, I use variations of it throughout the analysis I do. Currently, I believe we should watch to see if the 5-day ARMs is pinned at 4 for several days in a row. Additionally, a 5-day reading below 4 within the next week, that goes against the trend would be bullish. If this is accompanied by heavy volume, we are on our way to 11,000.

If I get a chance this evening, I will try to post the brief study that I did.