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Technology Stocks : ULBI..Ultralife Batteries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (372)	2/25/1999 10:06:00 PM
From: David Maginnis	Respond to of 522

- Assume that battery sales increase at 60% per qtr. like they claim the 9v did last qtr. (The couple of Radio Shacks that I visit are experiencing over 100% gains.) - Assume about 5% increase in yield per qtr. like they did last qtr. They said at the annual meeting that they expect to be getting 30 to 40% yields in a couple of qtrs. - Assume a fast ramp up of the English plant with 25% yield. - Assume other cost stay the same. Revenues_________Mar 99____Jun 99_____Sept 99____Dec 99 Battery Sales _____ 7,560_____12,096_____19,354_____30,966 Tech Contracts _____ 400 ______ 800 ______ 800 _______ 800 English Plant ______ 600 _____ 1,000_____1,500 _______2,000 Total Revenues ____ 8,560 ____ 13,896 __ 21,654 _____ 33,766 Cost of Products _____ (yield)______________________ (30%) Batteries __ 6,350(16%)__ 9,556(21%)__14,322(26%)__21,676 Tech Contracts _____ 300 ______ 600 ______ 600 _______ 600 English Plant ______ 450 ______ 750 _____ 1125 ______ 1500 Total Cost _________ 7100 ___ 10,906 ___ 16,047 ____ 23,776 Gross Profit ______ 1,460 ____ 2,990 ____ 5,607 _____ 9,990 Operating Expenses R&D ___________ 1,600 ____ 1,600 ____ 1,600 _____ 1,600 SG&A __________ 1,350 ____ 1,350 ____ 1,350 _____ 1,350 Total __________ 2,950 ____ 2,950 _____2,950 _____ 2,950 Other Income Interest ___________ 350 ______ 350 ______ 350 _______ 350 Miscellaneous _____ (25) ______(25)_______(25) ______ (25) Net Gain ______ (1,165) _____ 365 ____ 2,982 ______ 7,365 Net Gain per Share _ (.11) ____ .035 _____ .285 _______ .70