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To: Jules B. Garfunkel who wrote (3165)2/26/1999 9:57:00 AM
From: Mark Brophy  Respond to of 3624
 
Are we suffering from George Jetson syndrome?

Columnist Jesse Burst wrote the article, Home Networking Breakthrough? How the HPNA Could Change Everything at zdnet.com and suggests:

the consortium has succumbed to the George Jetson syndrome. Its members are fixated on the enormous home marketplace of the imaginary far future. Meanwhile, they are ignoring a smaller market that is here right now -- namely, small business (including home office). This is the group that could provide the essential bridge to the consumer market of the future, because it has a powerful business reason to embrace this new technology right now.

The bottom line? HomePNA may go the way of previous industry consortiums. Lots of press releases followed by very little action. But if it delivers on its promises, it could be a breakthrough. It could speed up the timetable. It could lead to widespread home networking in as few as two or three years instead of the five I've been predicting.


His previous more pessimistic article is, Don't Fall for the Home Networking Hype at zdnet.com. The bottom of both articles contains a thread of about 20 messages and most of the posters opined that home networking is industry hype. I think these people simply lack imagination, with one big exception.

Roger Ross claims that PC/TC/stereo convergence is already here and describes how he uses an innovative Philips product at zdnet.com. There's a review of the product at newmedia.com. It costs $5000, so I doubt that it's selling very well. Phoenix supplies the USB cores and software for Philips WinCE machine, so they might be supplying the DVX8000, too. Philips wants to sells me everything, but like most people, I already own a TV, stereo, and PC.

Consultant Anthony Awtrey wrote about home networking at at awtrey.com. He says Best Buy is increasing sales at a 50% rate and a survey found that most people set up a network to play networked games rather than to share resources such as printers, CD-ROMs, and net connections. An Intel survey found the opposite. How would you use a home network?

There's an interesting interview with an IBMer at newmedia.com.