To: Karl Drobnic who wrote (28785 ) 2/24/1999 8:13:00 AM From: Manzanillo Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 31646
<<Senate panel warns of business fallout from Y2K bug Computer bug may spur Crash of 2000 <<Here is how the Senate panel sees Y2K affecting various sectors of the U.S. economy: UTILITIES. Only about 50 percent of electric utilities had repaired Y2K systems as of December. ''Of greatest concern are about 1,000 small, rural electric utilities.'' Local and regional blackouts are ''likely,'' but a ''prolonged, nationwide blackout'' is not. HEALTH CARE. Some 64 percent of hospitals have no plans to test their Y2K fixes before the crunch date. Some 90 percent of doctors' offices are unaware of how exposed they are to Y2K problems. Federal payment systems for Medicare and other health-insurance programs are behind schedule for repair. ''The health-care industry is one of the worst-prepared for Y2K and carries a significant potential for harm.'' TELECOMMUNICATIONS. Some 95 percent of telephone systems are expected to be ready. No reliable data exists on readiness to test data networks, cellular or satellite communications systems, or 1,400 regional carriers. TRANSPORTATION. ''On average, the nation's 670 domestic airports started Y2K compliance too late,'' the report states. The Federal Aviation Administration has ''made great strides'' but ''it still has a way to go. . . . Planes will not fall out of the sky, but flight rationing to some areas and countries is possible.'' Aviation problems will be ''much worse'' abroad. FINANCE. Banks and automated tellers are expected to function and to have enough cash. The Federal Reserve intends to expand available currency by one-third, to about $200 billion, to cover withdrawals ''and has other contingency arrangements available if needed,'' Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan told the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday. GOVERNMENT. Federal agencies vary widely in preparedness; among the least prepared is the Defense Department. (A House panel monitoring federal Y2K efforts issued an overall grade of C+ on Tuesday. Defense reported that only 72 percent of its ''mission-critical systems'' are ready; Transportation, only 53 percent. John Koskinen, chairman of President Clinton's Y2K Council, told a computer-industry forum last week that he is confident federal agencies will be ready in time. The Senate report concludes that not all ''mission-critical'' federal systems will be ready, ''but wholesale failures'' of federal services ''will not occur.'' However, state and local governments vary widely in preparations, the Senate panel said, noting its ''greatest concern is the ability of local communities to provide 911 emergency services.'' BUSINESS. Heavily regulated fields such as banking, insurance and finance ''are furthest ahead,'' but ''health care, oil, education, agriculture, farming, food processing and the construction industry are lagging behind,'' the report said. Any failure of a critical system is likely to cost up to $3.5 million to repair and to take 3 to 15 days. INTERNATIONAL. Venezuela and Saudi Arabia, which together supply 30 percent of U.S. oil imports, are both 12 to 18 months behind Y2K repair efforts in the U.S., exemplifying how problems abroad might have an impact here. Infection of repaired U.S. computer systems from links to unfixed foreign ones is also worrisome. Perhaps equally worrisome is how impossible it is to measure the problem in advance. ''It is unfortunate how little we still know about the scope and the severity of the Y2K problem for the U.S. and for the world,'' the Senate report observes. >>herald.com