To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (23804 ) 2/24/1999 11:22:00 PM From: IQBAL LATIF Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 50167
Korean Industrial Output Posts Biggest Gain in 4 Years in Recovery Sign Korea Industrial Output Posts Biggest Gain in 4 Years (Repeat) (Repeats to fix typographical error in 1st paragraph.) Seoul, Feb. 25 (Bloomberg) -- South Korea's industrial output posted its biggest gain in almost four years in January and private consumption expanded for the first time in 15 months, indicating the faltering economy is on track to expand. Output grew at an annual rate of 14.7 percent -- the largest gain since July 1995, led by robust exports of semiconductors and transportation equipment. It was the third consecutive monthly gain and compared with a 4.8 percent increase in December. The National Statistical Office said more Koreans turned optimistic about an economic turnaround, evidenced in a 2.8 percent increase in combined wholesale and retail sales, the best measure of demand in the economy. Spending on big-ticket items such as automobiles jumped 129 percent in January from a year ago. Sales of machinery and telecommunications equipment were also brisk. Last year, consumption shrank by a monthly average of 12.5 percent. ''Now we can say for sure the economy has embarked on the expansionary cycle,'' said Song Keum Young, an NSO official. ''Because indictors for consumption and investment are also showing steady growth.'' The office noted the figures reflect the longer period of working days -- two days more -- in January this year from the same year-earlier month. The Korean economy slipped into its worst recession in 45 years after the country turned to a nearly $60 billion bailout the International Monetary Fund pulled together in December, 1997 to avert national bankruptcy. Growing Optimism Several other key indicators also point to recovery, fueling expectations the Korean economy would grow at least 2.0 percent this year against an estimated 5.5 percent contraction last year as forecast by the IMF. Domestic machinery orders, a gauge of corporate investment, jumped 39.6 percent in January from a year earlier, led by the shipbuilding and automobiles sectors. It compared with a 0.8 percent rise in December and an average 30.5 percent decline for the entire 1998. Shipments of goods for domestic use also increased for the first time since November, 1997, expanding at an annual 6.1 percent rate in January against a 10.9 percent fall in December. Those for export rose 23.2 percent, compared with 25.4 percent. However, factory use by manufacturers dropped to 69.2 percent of the total capacity last month, from 70.5 percent in December, plagued by a strike in LG Semicon Co. and slowing production at refineries. Inventories in January fell another 16.6 percent from a year ago. The depleted stockpiles will allow companies to increase output, helping to accelerate an economic pick-up. Bucking the overall trend, the construction sector still
remained in a slump. New construction orders dropped 20.5 percent in January from a year ago, compared with an annualized 42.5 percent drop for the entire 1998. The NSO said the economic outlook is continually improving. The index of leading indicators, a prediction of economic activity six to seven months ahead, rose for a fourth consecutive month. The index advanced 8.3 percent last month from a year ago.