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To: scotty who wrote (28938)2/24/1999 6:40:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116860
 
Business: The Economy

Bond move spooks US
shares

Are US markets overvalued and heading for a correction?

US shares closed sharply lower as a jump in bond
interest rates, to their highest levels in six months,
increased worries that the stock market may be
overvalued and about to undergo a correction.

The Dow Jones index of leading shares ended 1.5%, or
145 points lower, at 9,400.

The Nasdaq index, home to many Internet and
technology shares, was also badly hit. It fell 37 points,
or 1.6%, to 2,339. The performance of companies on the
Nasdaq has been a major driving force behind recent
surges in US stock values.

Late sell-off

After buoyant international markets prompted a firm
start, US shares registered a sharp fall in late trade as
the interest rate on the benchmark 30-year Treasury
bond jumped to 5.5%, its highest since 21 August, just
after the Russian default.

"It's all about the bond-market," said Bill Meehan, chief
market analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald. "The bond broke
and stocks fell sharply."

The jump in bond interest rates spooked investors who
have been worried for some time that last year's interest
rate cuts may lead to an over-buoyant economy and a
rise in inflation. They fear this would prompt the US
central bank, the Federal Reserve, to raise interest rates
again.

Greenspan effect

US markets have been particularly jittery in the last two
days as the bank's chief, Alan Greenspan, has been
passing his judgement on the country's economy in a
testimony to US Congress.

He said nothing to calm fears
of an imminent correction,
describing share prices as
overvalued and a threat to
continued economic
expansion.

Mr Greenspan said the bank
would do whatever was
necessary to preserve US
economic expansion. It is the
one remaining area of the
world which is still enjoying
robust growth.

He was upbeat about economic prospects, but
emphasised the danger of inflation. He said falling job
vacancies could push up wage expectations, which in
turn could push up prices generally.

The central bank expects US inflation to move up slightly
to 2-2.5%.

Among the other risks he cited were high levels of debt
by households and companies, the growing US trade
deficit, and economic weakness in many overseas
markets.

He said the bank was reviewing whether its rate cuts in
the autumn were still justified as the global economic
crisis had moderated.
news.bbc.co.uk