SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Linda Pearson who wrote (49576)2/25/1999 8:15:00 AM
From: Kenya AA  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
****OT**** Robbie Stephens Conference: Dallas Presses the iButton
By TSC Staff

2/22/99 3:31 PM ET

SAN FRANCISCO -- Dallas Semiconductor (DS:NYSE) has its finger on the button -- the iButton, that is. That's the name of a computer chip small enough to be worn on your tie or in a ring. The chip can transmit information to a computer -- for security access at an office building or identification at a cash machine or on a train, for instance.

Dallas Semi CFO Alan Hale is counting on the iButton to put some zip into the communications-
chip company's stock, which was up 7/16 at 36 1/2 after Dallas' session at the BancBoston Robertson Stephens Technology '99 Conference. About 25 million iButtons are now in use, he said.

David Arscott, a money manager from Compass Technology Partners, said he was one of the original investors in Dallas Semiconductor and still has personal holdings in the company. He likes the diverse product line that complements the iButton and the diverse customer base: Dallas' top 25 customers account for only about a quarter of revenue.

Arscott also sees growth potential. The company saw a first ever decline in revenue of 7% last year because of the Asian crisis but still managed to record $55.4 million in profits. Order rates for early 1999 are "a source of modest encouragement," Hale said, and revenue looks to be better than in any of the four previous quarters. "We hope that in early 1999, this good data holds," he said.

-- Marcy Burstiner

Summit's Down in the Dumps
Summit Design (SMMT:Nasdaq) is stuck in a trough.
Though the company's CEO and financial chief tried to talk up the company, investors remained wary after getting burned. The maker of software tools for design automation first delayed and then canceled an acquisition of Orcad (OCAD:Nasdaq) due to lengthy reviews by the Securities and Exchange Commission. When Summit announced earlier this month that the deal was canceled, the stock slid more than 30% in a day and has yet to recover. Monday the stock was down 1/4, or 7%, at 3 7/16, near its all-time low.

"Unless you already own the shares, I don't really see any reason to buy any except that it's really cheap," said one fund manager who has substantially pared down his position in Summit. "I thought Orcad would have been good for them, but now that's off and I don't know where they're going. If I weren't already in it, I'd stay on the sidelines and watch because it doesn't look like anything's happening for at least six months or so."

During the presentation, CFO Al Koob told investors to expect results for the first half of the year to remain down as the company tries to rebuild itself and hire new sales and marketing people. The third quarter should be flat as it trains those people, and the fourth quarter should see the company return to growth, he said.

-- Medora Lee

ICQ Fans Seek AOL
America Online's (AOL:NYSE) ICQ instant chat and communication technology is expanding AOL's already massive brand, and attracting attention from attendees at Robbie Stephens.
Getting into AOL's session was about as tough as getting into its stock at a reasonable price. A mass of people standing in the concourse waiting to see AOL's presentation had to jostle with the crowd leaving Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq)'s presentation immediately before. The logjam at the entrance, cracked BankBoston Private Bank vice president Jeffrey Green, was "like trying to log onto AOL."

Currently about 85,000 to 90,000 new registrants are logging on and signing up for ICQ every day and about 94% of the ICQ users are not AOL members, said Ted Leonsis, president of AOL studios.

More than 29 million people use ICQ and only 6% of them overlap with AOL's existing user base. And those users are spending an average of an hour a day using the instant messaging service. "It's the fastest growing community on the Internet today," says Leonsis, "and ICQ is very sticky."

Curtis Brown, a money manager for Curtis Brown & Co. says he doesn't own AOL stock, "but I'd sure like to. But at what price?" He said he was waiting for a correction before he'd buy in.

-- Suzanne Galante





To: Linda Pearson who wrote (49576)2/25/1999 8:18:00 AM
From: Kenya AA  Respond to of 97611
 
****OT**** Robbie Stephens Notebook: Rambus Confirms Intel Delay
By TSC Staff

2/23/99 3:13 PM ET

SAN FRANCISCO -- Tuesday morning at the BancBoston Robertson Stephens Tech '99 Conference, Rambus (RMBS:Nasdaq) CFO Gary Harmon seemed to confirm that Intel (INTC:Nasdaq) will push back its rollout of the Rambus-based Camino chip set.

"Intel has said that they will be releasing a Rambus chipset this year," said Harmon. "We think that at the Intel Developer Forum -- starting today in Palm Springs, Calif. -- Intel will refine that to the second half of the year."

Camino is the singlemost important product to Rambus -- a company with a $1.8 billion market cap and, thus far, few products to its name. This was underscored by Harmon's admission that some 50 Rambus engineers -- one-third of its workforce -- are tied up working with Intel.

Nonetheless, Robertson Stephens analyst Dan Niles said it's not an issue. "Our view on Intel is that they slip shipping deadlines," said Niles. "So today they will put a stake in the ground on when the slip will be. This is a long-term story."

As Harmon spoke in San Francisco, some 600 miles to the south in Palm Springs, Intel exec Pat Gelsinger demonstrated a next-generation system that included Rambus technology. But the real McCoy, he admitted, won't be "ramping" until the second half of the year.

"We believe the full set of platform components begins in the third quarter of this year," Gelsinger said. Delays for Rambus-powered laptop computers will be even longer. "Rambus for mobile computers will be ready shortly after, or very late this year or early next year," he said.

Some investors are sure to be disappointed with the news. Shares of Rambus rallied briefly as high as 82 1/2 after the presentation but gave up those gains in midday trading, when they were down 5% at 78 1/8.

-- Cory Johnson in San Francisco and Marcy Burstiner in Palm Springs

Vantive's New Hire
In an eager attempt to woo investors back onto its bandwagon, front-office software maker Vantive (VNTV:Nasdaq) scooped itself at the BancBoston conference. CEO John Luongo let it slip that Vantive will announce next Monday it has stolen away Guy DuBois from Sybase (SYBS:Nasdaq) to head Vantive's international operations.

"I think I can probably say this," Luongo said. "On Monday, we're going to announce that Guy DuBois, vice president of Sybase Europe, will be our new head of international." Luongo, who was named CEO late last month, also said the company is "actively recruiting a vice president of North America."

Vantive needs some good news. The stock declined 25% in the week following its fourth-quarter earnings, when license-revenue growth was lower than expected. The addition to management should help, but investors would have rather seen a fresh face in the more troubled North American operations.

Vantive's international sales grew 30% in the fourth quarter, accounting for 27% of total revenue, while the domestic side lagged, CFO Len LeBlanc said. "This year and next year, international will still probably grow faster than domestic," he said.

But that wasn't good enough for investors now who want more immediate returns. They noted that LeBlanc also said the company's goal of operating margins of 14% to 17% and gross margins of 77% to 80% may still take a couple of years to reach. Vantive's fourth-quarter operating margins were 6%, and gross margins were 73% because of lower-than-expected license revenue growth and higher consulting revenue increases. License fees have a higher margin than consulting fees.

So even with the company's new face, investors say they are not yet ready to jump in again because results could still be a long way from emerging.

-- Medora Lee

What Landis Likes
Fresh from the Legato Systems (LGTO:Nasdaq) presentation Monday morning at the BancBoston conference, Firsthand funds manager Kevin Landis called the network storage software maker's story "impressive" but said he hasn't pulled the trigger on a buy yet. "The stock's pricey," he said.

Legato is in a kind of "Coke-and-Pepsi" war with competing storage software maker Veritas Software (VRTS:Nasdaq), said Landis. He's keeping a watchful eye on Legato, which he said just "might be the Coke."

While Landis has long preferred to play the Internet from the ground up, investing in "infrastructure" companies such as Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq) and Texas Instruments (TXN:NYSE), he did buy America Online (AOL:NYSE) last summer for his $50 million Technology Leaders fund "immediately after, it announced the Netscape (NSCP:Nasdaq) deal," he said.

The manager said the Internet service firm has demonstrated its ability to keep customers loyal, unlike online retailer Amazon.com (AMZN:Nasdaq), which Landis said has so far failed to convince him it possesses an "enduring competitive advantage."

Landis' $150 million Technology Value fund is up 24.5% over the past 12 months; Technology Leaders is up 74.9% in the same time period, according to Lipper.

Landis has been doing the rounds at the Tech '99 conference armed with a five-pack of color highlighters to organize his schedule of preferred company presentations: green for "know-it-and-love-it" companies; pink for companies whose "tires deserve kicking"; yellow for "nothing-better-to-do" companies; purple and blue for private meetings.

Among the greens were old favorites such PMC-Sierra (PMCS:Nasdaq), Level One (LEVL:Nasdaq) and Vitesse (VTSS:Nasdaq).

-- Alison Moore





To: Linda Pearson who wrote (49576)2/25/1999 8:21:00 AM
From: Kenya AA  Respond to of 97611
 
****OT**** Robbie Stephens Conference: PeopleSoft Takes the Hard Line
By TSC Staff
2/24/99 9:04 AM ET

SAN FRANCISCO -- Not a seat was empty when PeopleSoft (PSFT:Nasdaq) presented at the BancBoston Robertson Stephens Technology '99 Conference Tuesday. But did the audience come for PeopleSoft or to save seats for the next presentation by Internet auction site eBay (EBAY:Nasdaq)?

"I actually came to see eBay," said Clarence Wooten, CEO of privately held ImageCafe.com, who claims his company "will sell Web sites like Amazon.com (AMZN:Nasdaq) sells books." Look out: Another Internet company on the prowl.

Though no one will ever know for sure how many eBay squatters sat through PeopleSoft's talk, that doesn't matter to PeopleSoft.

Gathering strength from the the huge turnout, PeopleSoft CFO Al Castino showed off the software firm's fighting spirit. "All those who filed class action suits against us wasted their time because the Securities and Exchange Commission didn't make us restate our earnings," the executive said. "So those people are probably all scurrying to cover their reputations."

In its last earnings report, the Pleasanton, Calif.-based company said the SEC was investigating in-process research and development charges related to PeopleSoft acquisitions. The disclosure triggered a slew of class action lawsuits against PeopleSoft, which was recently cleared in the investigations.

Castino also said the company would continue fighting despite a rocky end to 1998. "We believe great companies gain market share in slowdowns if they invest for the future, and that is what we are doing," he said. "We are repositioning ourselves for the Internet, and the new hires we plan to make in upcoming months will exceed those laid off." PeopleSoft said in its last quarterly earnings report that it would lay off 430 employees.

With PeopleSoft and Oracle (ORCL:Nasdaq) both chasing recruits, maybe the only sure bet for investors would be to enroll in engineering school. Sounds like the price for engineers is going to continue soaring. Just a thought.

-- Medora Lee

Reach Out and Gawk at Someone
Forget about accumulating zillions of frequent flier miles on the company's dime. If it were up to FVC.com (FVCX:Nasdaq), there would be no more corporate travel. The company, which makes products for "theater-quality" video conferencing, is trying to "reduce travel" and "help experts reach out around the world to eliminate the effect of distance," says chairman Ralph Ungermann, who presented at the conference Tuesday morning.

But more than just closing the distances between businesses, FVC.com is banking on the widespread adoption of "distance learning," or education via video conference. "There is a ton of money available for distance learning," says Ungermann, "and we'll play a big role." FVC.com's products will store video locally on networks, allowing students to index and load content quickly.

Ungemann predicted operating margins would rise to 20% by the end of 1999 from 14% at the end of 1998. FVC.com said it has had plenty of orders but couldn't get the product out to meet the demand. Investors weren't too concerned with the quarter's glitch. "It's not unusual to get a little lumpiness in their orders," says Kevin Landis, a fund manager at FirstHand, which holds some FVC.com. "They are positioned to take advantage of a trend that is going to happen."

-- Suzanne Galante

Going Platinum
Platinum Technology (PLAT:Nasdaq) CEO Andrew Filipowski told investors proxy votes on its acquisition of Israel-based Memco Software (MEMCF:Nasdaq) are in, with an official announcement of the results expected Wednesday.

"Tomorrow we'll have the official vote from the Memco deal, but as of today, I've been told it's a done deal," he said Tuesday at the Robbie conference. "It'll probably be wrapped up within a week or two in the Israeli courts."

The stock of Illinois-based Platinum is down 29% this year as the company has struggled to refocus its business. The company said Monday it will cut its workforce by 15%, or about 1,000 jobs, and take a restructuring charge of between $90 million and $110 million in the first quarter.

-- Medora Lee

Play It Again, eBay
Online auctioneer eBay (EBAY:Nasdaq) failed to wow investors with its same old song -- literally.

After CEO Margaret Whitman outlined the company's business model and pledged to beef up user security, the company ran a video of recent television appearances, featuring Today show hosts Katie Couric and Matt Lauer. Zoot Suit Riot by the Cherry Popping Daddies bellowed through the presentation room during the video segment -- the same video and song that filled this same exact room at the NationsBanc Montgomery Securities conference earlier this month.

eBay has surged 24% since the Robbie conference began Monday, rising as high as 296 1/2 Tuesday morning. But when it came time for the company to take center stage Tuesday, the stock turned south and ended at 282 5/8, up 1% on the day.

"I wanted to see them justify their valuation," says Loren Lopin of Harbor Ventures, who attended the presentation. "And they didn't do that." Lopin sees eBay as an entertainment site, not a sustainable e-commerce business. He doesn't have any position in the stock.

-- Suzanne Galante





To: Linda Pearson who wrote (49576)2/25/1999 8:24:00 AM
From: Kenya AA  Respond to of 97611
 
****OT**** Robbie Stephens Conference: CMGI Rocks 'Em at Robbie
By TSC Staff

2/24/99 10:10 PM ET

Microsoft (MSFT:Nasdaq) canceled Wednesday afternoon and money managers went looking for "diamonds in the gravel," as one put it. Enter CMGI (CMGI:Nasdaq) CEO David Wetherell, whose pitch must have sounded like a call to a gold rush to the SRO crowd.

CMGI's celebrated stable of emerging Internet companies was trotted out once again for the admiring crowd. One subsidiary, Planet Direct, sent its new CEO Jeffrey Cunningham to make a cameo appearance. At Wetherell's behest the casually dressed former Forbes group publisher stood, smiled and waved.

But the real info the crowd craved -- comments on CMGI's position regarding the USA Networks (USAI:Nasdaq)-Lycos (LCOS:Nasdaq) deal announced earlier this month -- wasn't addressed directly by Wetherell until the after the company's canned presentation ended. Though he did allow that CMGI lost some value in the proposed deal -- "temporarily," he said, with a wave of the finger.

Following the presentation, Wetherell told TSC that CMGI, which holds a 20% stake in Lycos, was generally supportive of the deal but "not at this price." He also said that USA has to "bring more to the table." Lycos shares fell 35% to 94 1/4 the day the deal was announced. Wednesday the stock closed at 90 1/2. Wetherell wouldn't name what price CMGI would be more supportive at or what he wanted USA to add to sweeten the deal.

The CEO returned to the topic at CMGI's breakout session where the first question lobbed was, "What's up with USA-Lycos?" according to one institutional money manager present. Wetherell reportedly demurred with "I've already said enough," before returning again to the subject to say he supports "the strategy of the deal," and voted in favor of it on the board, the money manager said.

Wetherell then said it remains to be seen if the shareholder base approves, according to the manager who is an investor in both CMGI and Lycos. The manager said Wetherell's comments in the breakout Wednesday left him with the impression that the deal will still happen, but the CMGI CEO is leading the charge for a better terms for Lycos shareholders.

During the presentation, Wetherell focused on the company's brightest prospects. Most compelling of the two dozen companies CMGI supports or owns is a proposed television network, which will be headed by Neil Braun, former head of NBC-TV. Magnitude Network, an online radio company modeled after broadcast.com (BCST:Nasdaq), will be folded into this television broadcast company.

Some of the companies expected to go for a public offering in the next 24 months, says Wetherell, include Silknet, Critical Path, Chemdex, Raging Bull, and Ancestry.com, to name a few. CMGI owns a 50% stake in Raging Bull and a 39% stake in Ancestry.com, 7% of Critical Path, 16% of Chemdex, and 34% of Silknet.

The packed house let out an audible gasp when shown the company's return on a total of $39 million in what is essentially venture capital investments: $1.9 billion. "It's ... phenomenal," said one money manager in attendance. "I'm finally thinking that after watching this stock for 18 months from the sidelines that it's time to get in -- this company's got legs." CMGI closed down 6 5/16 at 111 3/16 after rising as high as 119 1/2.

Look for more news from Lycos when it presents at Robbie Stephens Thursday afternoon.

-- Alison Moore, Eric Moskowitz and Suzanne Galante in San Francisco and George Mannes in New York

Is Ciena Acquisitive Again?
Can Ciena (CIEN:Nasdaq) really be on the prowl again? Even after Ciena's M&A activity led to a horror movie of a summer last year, there was talk of more M&As for Ciena at its packed presentation Wednesday at the Robbie Stephens conference. Ciena's stock rose 11% to 27 1/4 amid the buzz.

"Are they being built up to be sold or can they really get back to where they were before the Tellabs (TLAB:Nasdaq) mess happened?" asks Nicholas Moore, a money manager at Jurika and Voyles. "Can they really take $34 a share from another company after they were worth $90 a share to Tellabs last year? I don't think so." Moore has no position in Ciena stock.

Ciena CEO Patrick Nettles talked about products during his 15-minute speech, especially the MultiWave 4000. "This product will make up a significant part of our business by the end of our fiscal year (in October)." Nettles also highlighted the company's first-class reputation, as if it were looking for partners to dance with.

But it's the financial numbers that Nettles didn't discuss that concern managers such as Moore. "The big issue is gross margins, which were in free-fall mode over the last two quarters," he says. Ciena's margins were hurt last year by pricing cuts from Lucent (LU:NYSE) and Nortel (NT:NYSE) in its wavelength division multiplexing products that boost bandwidth in fiber-optic networks. But now business seems to be improving.

Gross margins increased to 34.5% in its first fiscal quarter ending in January 1999 from 31.2% in its October 1998 quarter. This kind of news has some money managers optimistic about Ciena's future. Esmond Goei of Mountain View-based ETG Associates says he came away convinced that Ciena "has its act together again."

BancBoston Robertson Stephens analyst Paul Silverstein also did his part to help make Ciena more attractive by upgrading the stock to a buy from long-term attractive before the presentation, writing that in the past three weeks "we have seen signs of improvement on the gross margins."

At the end of the presentation, however, it was clear that fund managers were once again interested in Ciena. The legendary tech fund manager, Jon Gruber of Gruber McBain, was hanging on Nettles' every word as the two headed to the breakout session.

-- Eric Moskowitz





To: Linda Pearson who wrote (49576)2/25/1999 8:28:00 AM
From: Kenya AA  Respond to of 97611
 
****OT**** Robbie Stephens Conference: Exodus Builds Digital Fort Knox
By Spencer E. Ante
Staff Reporter
2/24/99 7:00 AM ET

SANTA CLARA, Calif. -- From the outside, the data center of Exodus (EXDS:Nasdaq) in Santa Clara, Calif., resembles a garden-variety Silicon Valley tilt-up. But deep inside the 27,000 square-foot structure, a new industry is being born.

Exodus's data centers, which house hundreds of computer servers, are the Fort Knox of the Internet. And the security at Exodus is nearly as tight as it would be if the company were guarding gold.

One must be on a customer contact list in order to even enter Exodus' foyer. Once inside, a round of security guards stands in front of a door that whooshes visitors into a huge, humming and labyrinthine space filled with tall, black, steel cages. The data vaults here are protected by biometric hand readers, while security cameras survey the entire area and scanners carefully regulate the air temperature.

What is Exodus selling that needs this level of safeguarding and fortification? "We sell space," explains Kyle Barriger, who manages the facility, pointing to a rack of servers that Exodus hosts for Lycos (LCOS:Nasdaq). Customers "can purchase a quarter rack, a half rack, a whole rack or an entire cage."

All told, Exodus manages eight data centers -- three in San Francisco and one each in Los Angeles, New York, Boston, Washington, D.C., and Seattle -- plus a server hosting facility in London. And there are more data centers are on the way. This quarter, the company plans to open a data center in Chicago, and later in the year Exodus will unveil centers in London, Washington, D.C., and the Seattle area.

It's costly to guard the intellectual property that is the golden currency of the new economy. Despite nine consecutive months of more than 40% revenue growth, Exodus lost a mountain of money in 1998. Last year, the company lost $66.4 million, nearly triple 1997's $25 million loss.

However, company executives claim that their "same-store" data center model reaches EBITDA profitability after six quarters, sometimes faster. Right now, Exodus says that five of their eight operating data centers have reached EBITDA profitability.

"We know how much it costs to go in," said Exodus co-founder and chairman K.B. "Chandra" Chandrasekhar to the packed room at the BancBoston Robertson Stephens Technology 99 Conference. "In 14 months our centers become cash-flow-positive."

Beyond the high costs of building centers, Exodus faces heavy-duty competition. The startup is going mano-a-mano with giants such as AT&T (T:NYSE), IBM (IBM:NYSE), Electronic Data Systems (EDS:NYSE) and national and regional ISPs. But Exodus says it wins more than 80% of its bid attempts. "We are not alone in this market," says Chandrasekhar. "We definitely have a lot of competition, but the telcos don't execute best in this space."

Exodus benefits from having first-mover advantage in the Web hosting market. Its customer base is growing rapidly and lays claim to some of the biggest names on the Internet, including Yahoo! (YHOO:Nasdaq), Sony Online and Blockbuster Interactive. This year, Exodus hopes to leverage its cachet with .com firms into new contracts with more established brick-and-mortar enterprises. What's more, CFO Richard Stoltz recently said the average revenue per customer has grown from $47,000 to $133,000 per year, largely based on added service fees the company receives for managing Web sites.

The company is also capitalized to acquire companies. On Monday, Exodus said it plans to raise $200 million in a private offering of seven-year subordinated notes that can be converted into common stock. Proceeds will be used to finance acquisitions, the company said.

Some problems loom in the future. Most prominent is the risk of an attack on Exodus' vaunted security system. Company executives may never admit it, but data centers are an ideal target for hackers. Perhaps that's why the company's most high-profile acquisition to date was Arca Systems, a network security consulting firm authorized by the National Security Agency to certify compliance with federal government security standards for software products.

"If you have a set of people whose job it is to watch over your assets then you're going to be much better off," said security consultant Robert J. Stratton of Security Design International. "However, with respect to outsourcing there are some real, unique problems that we haven't adequately addressed." Highest on that list, says Stratton, is authenticating the identity of customers accessing servers.

"The majority of exposures in data centers will be caused by the customer," said Stratton. "Customers have to get access to that information without exposing it en route."

Investors seem jazzed about Exodus' prospects. The market for Web hosting services is estimated to grow by 200% a year for several years, Chandrasekha said. Recently, BancBoston Robertson Stephens analyst Rick Juarez issued a 12-month $135 price target. The stock closed at 82 7/8 Tuesday, up 2 7/8 on the day, but still off its 12-month high of 115 1/8.

"I think the most interesting thing about them is the e-commerce opportunities," said Paul Sherer, a private investor. "All they've done is create fast Web pages. The next thing is to enable fast commerce pages."

In fact, in the hallway after the presentation Chandrasekha told TSC that the company is already providing e-commerce hosting services to CyberSource and CyberCash (CYCH:Nasdaq).





To: Linda Pearson who wrote (49576)2/25/1999 8:30:00 AM
From: Kenya AA  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
****OT**** Robbie Stephens Conference: Micron on the Mend
By TSC Staff

2/24/99 4:19 PM ET

SAN FRANCISCO -- Micron Technology (MU:NYSE) may defy analysts' expectations and post a profit in its fiscal second quarter ending Feb. 28. That's the buzz surrounding the semiconductor company at the BancBoston Robertson Stephens Technology '99 Conference.

"According to our models, it looks like Micron might be profitable this quarter," said Edward Hemmelgarn, portfolio manager at Shaker Investments, who owns Micron shares and went to the company's presentation Tuesday just to make sure business still looked good. And it did to him.

Hemmelgarn said the breakout meeting was very positive and estimated that Micron can earn as much as 11 or 12 cents per share in the quarter. That would be Micron's first profit in five quarters and well above First Call's consensus estimate of a 2-cent loss -- heck, even above BancBoston Robertson Stephens analyst Dan Niles' estimate for breakeven. Niles said at the presentation that Micron is probably his "best idea over the course of the next couple of years." Niles has a price target of 200 for Micron shares by 2001.

Also, Donaldson Lufkin & Jenrette upgraded the company Tuesday to buy from market perform with a 12-month price target of 100. The stock was up 4% in Wednesday trading at 73 3/8.

But what are all these bulls seeing in Micron? Simple, said Hemmelgarn. A few factors are falling into place for the company, he said, including most importantly, stabilizing DRAM prices. Micron CEO Steven Appleton told investors that DRAM prices have been relatively flat since September. Thanks to increased production and higher sales volume, Hemmelgarn estimated, Micron's gross margins will increase to 35% to 40% this quarter from 11% last quarter.

This could be some pretty big stuff for Micron. But the best part has yet to come. Analysts and investors say Micron's profits could continue rising for another two years.

-- Medora Lee

SportsLine's Food for Thought
"SportsLine (SPLN:Nasdaq) has a solid shot at replacing [Disney (DIS:NYSE) unit] ESPN.com as the No. 1 online sports media company." So said SportsLine bull Keith Benjamin, Internet analyst at BancBoston Robertson Stephens, which has an underwriting relationship with SportsLine.

His enthusiasm caught at least one SportsLine fan off guard. "I was intrigued with what Benjamin said -- writing off Disney like that," remarked Steve Appledorn, portfolio manager at the $850 million Munder NetNet fund, which owns shares in the firm. "His comments have got me thinking."

But the real eye-opener for Appledorn was SportsLine's grip on Europe. In the presentation, SportsLine CEO Michael Levy reported 2 million page views a day for the site's cricket coverage alone. Such traffic is missed by popular Web tracker Media Metrix, which covers only domestic traffic. "Europe is an area we are watching to find hidden value in these stocks because everybody's trying to build valuation models off numbers that are only domestic," said Appledorn.

The Munder manager said he'll take an even closer look at SportsLine now and compare it with ESPN's overseas penetration with an eye toward possibly adding to the fund's SportsLine position.

-- Alison Moore

Excite Goes Direct
Excite's (XCIT:Nasdaq) direct-marketing efforts made up less than 10% of the company's fourth-quarter revenue, company CEO George Bell told investors at the Robbie Stephens conference Wednesday morning, but it sees revenue from those efforts growing 600% in the next three years. Revenue from advertising, meanwhile, will grow 300% in that period.

Bell then compared search results for a specific sports team on Excite with those produced at competitor Yahoo!'s (YHOO:Nasdaq) site. "Ours is more content, fewer clicks," said Bell. "Theirs is less content, more clicks." He called all of the clicks to get to the desired content "empty calories pages" because users don't land on the pages in between. Rather, they instantly click again to get closer to the results they want. Bell said Excite may have just one-third of Yahoo!'s page views, but "we did 71% of their revenue" in the fourth quarter.

Eric Remer, a banker at Vrolyk & Co., came to Bell's presentation to hear about the company's growth prospects and to get his clients involved in Internet marketing deals with companies like Excite. "They are buying left and right," said Remer. "They've got rich stock to make acquisitions with."

-- Suzanne Galante