To: Yousef who wrote (50993 ) 2/25/1999 7:56:00 PM From: Yougang Xiao Respond to of 1583467
Latest DLJ Report on AMD -- Thanks Albert: 08:58am EST 24-Feb-99 DLJ Securities (Kevin McCarthy) INTC AMD CSCO ETEK COMS TECH DAILY: TECHdaily@DLJ DLJ ****** DONALDSON, LUFKIN & JENRETTE ****** DLJ February 24, 1999 TECH DAILY TECHdaily@DLJ TECHdaily@DLJ Tech Talk o We spoke with AMD (AMD: $18.75) management yesterday, and believe the company may have turned the corner in its speed yield difficulties. Silicon containing a design fix is shipping today, and will essentially completely displace older "flawed" silicon before the end of the quarter. The company confirmed it is seeing improved yields of 350 MHz and 400 MHz devices. Unfortunately, the open market prices for these devices are approximately $85 and $145, respectively. With the 300 MHz and 333 MHz devices commanding prices of about $50 and $70, respectively, we believe AMD will have difficulty maintaining its Q4 blended ASP of $89. Although the company is yielding some 450 MHz devices (open market price of about $250), we believe the quantities are too small to have much impact on the current quarter. The K6-3 is shipping at 400 MHz and sampling at 450 MHz, with initial prices of $284 and $476, respectively. While the K6-3 could result in some improvement in AMD's blended ASP, the gradual ramp of the device will likely result in only modest ASP improvement in Q2. Furthermore, we believe Intel will cut its Pentium II prices on Monday following the launch of the Pentium III, which will likely force AMD to drop the price of its K6-3 in response. We think AMD has an opportunity to reverse the recent decline in its ASP and restore strong revenue and profit growth in the second half of 1999 if it successfully improves the performance of its K6-3 device and launches the K7 device on schedule in June. (Boucher/Bunn)