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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Yousef who wrote (50993)2/25/1999 7:56:00 PM
From: Yougang Xiao  Respond to of 1583467
 
Latest DLJ Report on AMD -- Thanks Albert:

08:58am EST 24-Feb-99 DLJ Securities (Kevin McCarthy)
INTC AMD CSCO ETEK COMS
TECH DAILY: TECHdaily@DLJ

DLJ ****** DONALDSON, LUFKIN & JENRETTE ****** DLJ

February 24, 1999

TECH DAILY
TECHdaily@DLJ

TECHdaily@DLJ

Tech Talk
o We spoke with AMD (AMD: $18.75) management
yesterday, and believe the
company may have turned the corner in its speed yield
difficulties. Silicon
containing a design fix is shipping today, and will
essentially completely
displace older "flawed" silicon before the end of the
quarter. The company
confirmed it is seeing improved yields of 350 MHz and
400 MHz devices.
Unfortunately, the open market prices for these devices
are approximately
$85 and $145, respectively. With the 300 MHz and 333
MHz devices commanding
prices of about $50 and $70, respectively, we believe
AMD will have
difficulty maintaining its Q4 blended ASP of $89.
Although the company is
yielding some 450 MHz devices (open market price of
about $250), we believe
the quantities are too small to have much impact on the
current quarter.
The K6-3 is shipping at 400 MHz and sampling at 450
MHz, with initial
prices of $284 and $476, respectively. While the K6-3
could result in some
improvement in AMD's blended ASP, the gradual ramp of
the device will
likely result in only modest ASP improvement in Q2.
Furthermore, we believe
Intel will cut its Pentium II prices on Monday following
the launch of the
Pentium III, which will likely force AMD to drop the price
of its K6-3 in
response. We think AMD has an opportunity to reverse
the recent decline in
its ASP and restore strong revenue and profit growth in
the second half of
1999 if it successfully improves the performance of its
K6-3 device and
launches the K7 device on schedule in June.
(Boucher/Bunn)



To: Yousef who wrote (50993)2/25/1999 8:42:00 PM
From: RDM  Respond to of 1583467
 
<RDM, you are out of your "field of expertise" ... First, Intel's .25um process uses a 32A gate oxide (measured optically). >

I am confused. I did not know that I had a "field of expertise".

The point of my post was that the insulator thickness beneath the gate electrode of an MOS transistor affects the vulnerability of an MOS transistor to reliability issues. I believe that you would agree. However, my point was that I did not believe that you knew the current insulator thickness beneath both the Intel and AMD devices to be able to make an informed analysis.

They number that you quoted me of 32A was the optically measure oxide thickness presumable after gate oxidation. This meaningful, but is probably not likely the insulator thickness of the finished device. I believe that you probably know that a finished device is different from this optical measurement. I personally doubt that the finished insulator thickness is effectively 32A and I personally believe that it more than 32A in the finished device.

Your description of "potential" issues are interesting, but you have data that you have shared with us about the AMD devices. Without data we just guess. I would suspect that you are correct that AMD devices insulators must be thicker than Intels.

I am sorry if I made you uncomfortable by discussing topics that you feel are in your "expertise".