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Technology Stocks : CrossKeys Systems Corp [CKEY and CKY/TSE] -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tapcon who wrote (408)2/26/1999 6:33:00 AM
From: Glenn McDougall  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 792
 
CrossKeys warns results will be
weak

Newbridge affiliate hits first major bump
since going public

James Bagnall
The Ottawa Citizen

Kanata-based
CrossKeys Systems
Corp. got hit from nearly
all sides in its most recent
quarter, producing a
sharp slowdown in sales
and earnings growth.

More worrisome for
investors is that the
network management
software company issued a blunt warning yesterday that results would
weaken considerably over the next half year, before recovering.

"We do see a short-term challenge," chief financial officer Steve
Spooner said in a conference call with analysts and the media.

CrossKeys reported a 9.6-per-cent year-over-year jump in net earnings
to $1.4 million, or seven cents a share, for its third fiscal quarter ended
Jan. 31. Excluding one-time hits related to the bankruptcy of
Arnprior-based West End Systems Corp., earnings were up a more
robust 64 per cent to $2.1 million, or 11 cents a share. However, prior
to this quarter, CrossKeys profits had been at least doubling
year-over-year.

Third quarter sales rose 37.1 per cent to $13.5 million, a record. But,
said Mr. Spooner, "We don't see the ability to sustain that level of
revenue for the next two quarters."

Two main difficulties are plaguing CrossKeys. For one, the company is
finding it more difficult to close contracts in the Pacific Rim and Latin
America, where economies have softened.

The second problem is specific to CrossKeys. Siemens AG, a major
contributor of revenues, is winding down a key project,Êa high-speed
data switch known internally as the 36190. Crosskeys is doing a lot of
development work on this device, at times generating quarterly revenues
as high as $4 million.

Mr. Spooner said this would likely fall to only $1 million to $2 million a
quarter over the next six months.

Quarterly sales will not likely tumble significantly below $13.5 million.
But, since the company is not moving to cut costs dramatically, any sales
shortfall will have a disproportionate impact on earnings.

Company management seems prepared to tough it out, with it's eye on a
bigger opportunity.

"We will be the dominant supplier of performance management
software," said chief executive John Selwyn, who pointed out that
CrossKeys's market niche is expected to more than double to $1.2
billion U.S. annually by 2002.

CrossKeys, which employs 326 workers, mainly in the Ottawa region,
expects the introduction of new products will refuel sales in the second
quarter of fiscal 2000.

The company also hopes to have new channel partners in place. It
signed a deal recently with Ascend Communications Inc. and is
negotiating with several other major equipment makers.

Even so, as the company's experience with Compaq Computer Corp.
illustrates, extra channel partners on their own won't push up sales.
Compaq and CrossKeys jointly bid on two significant deals which were
both lost to competitors during the quarter. A third Compaq-CrossKeys
proposal was rejected when the potential customer decided to do the
work in-house instead.

During the third quarter, the Compaq channel accounted for only 12 per
cent of CrossKeys's total sales, compared to 52 per cent for Newbridge
and 27 per cent for Siemens.

CrossKeys shares closed at $8.95 on the Toronto Stock Exchange, up
15 cents. Results were published after trading ended.