SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JRI who wrote (105456)2/26/1999 5:28:00 PM
From: jim kelley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
John,

My guess is that the stuffing is two to three weeks.
Their target was 2 weeks of inventory in the channels.
My guess based on their receivables is that they have about
3 weeks excess inventory in the channel for a total of 5 weeks.

As to my WAG of .20. I suspect it was not actually very wrong if you subtract the 3 weeks of excess inventory from the stated earnings.

Using Niles 9.6 B for Q1, CPQ earnings should come in at 26 cents not 35. But actually they can cook their earnings numbers anyway they want this quarter. After all they did it last quarter and last year too.

That is why I do not invest in CPQ stock---their financial statements are silly putty.

JK



To: JRI who wrote (105456)2/26/1999 7:14:00 PM
From: Chuzzlewit  Respond to of 176387
 
John, (Although the .20 EPS guess was a bit harsh, no?)

Maybe not ...

If Compaq stuffed their channels then at least a portion of those sales never took place. That means that the gross profit they reported on that portion was an illusion -- a bogus number. It is possible that Jim may have hit the number right on the head.

Now that's the comfort you get with an investment in Dell. No bogus channel numbers.

TTFN,
CTC