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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Curbstone who wrote (539)	2/27/1999 12:59:00 AM
From: Mike Buckley	Respond to of 54805

The Front Office Gorilla Game At the end of every month I report in AOL the progress of my Front Office Gorilla Game. I'll do the same here, this being the first of those reports. Because there are financial tables that look best in the fixed font, see my next post to view them. Getting Started The portfolio began on 5/25/98 with $10,000 though it's not a real-money portfolio. At inception each stock position was about 25% of the portfolio. Commissions are based on $8 per trade. Disclosure: I own shares of Siebel Systems, one of the stocks in the portfolio, and will consider positions in others. The four stocks in alphabetical order are Clarify (CLFY), Remedy (RMDY), Siebel Systems (SEBL) and Vantive (VNTV). Though three of the four companies compete head-on, Remedy specializes in the internal help desk market and as such is not considered a direct competitor of the other three. Having said that, Remedy this year announced their entry into the CRM space the others have occupied for years. The Data As much as I like that our Front Office game is stomping the S&P 500 these days, it wasn't always that way. Though we're showing a profit of 38% today, in October we were showing a loss of 40% when our game was only five months young. Ouch! Fortunately, the group of four stocks has increased 130% since then despite that Vantive is still doing poorly as you'll see in the next message. I can't help but notice comparisons with the Russell 2000, a small-cap index. Depending upon how you categorize the four stocks in the portfolio, they are all small- or mid-cap stocks. Certainly none are large-cap stocks. Though the Russell 2000 is 15% lower than when we started the portfolio, the 38% profit of our Front Office Game is especially impressive. The next financial table in that post shows we've got two stocks that are approximate "doubles," one that has done so-so, and one that has been deplorable. Move on to my next message for the numbers. --Mike Buckley

To: Curbstone who wrote (539)	2/27/1999 1:04:00 AM
From: Mike Buckley	Respond to of 54805

The Front Office Gorilla Game (A not-real money portfolio started May 25, 1998. For explanations, see my previous message including the financial disclosure.) History Quarter Month Gorilla Game 38.41% 25.96% -1.54% S&P 500 11.51% 0.73% -3.23% Russell 2000 -15.28% -7.04% -8.18% % of Company Portfolio In at Now Change Clarify 36.8% $13.25 $27.13 104.72% Remedy 21.1% $17.44 $20.56 17.90% Siebel Systems 34.3% $23.00 $44.00 91.30% Vantive 7.5% $27.63 $11.55 -58.19% The final tally: Stocks $13,810.88 Cash $30.27 Total $13,841.15 --Mike Buckley