hi Craig, Competition? There is a discussion of that on page 17 of the Prospectus that you read before you invested your hard earned money in Global Crossing.<G>
While the high cost of building a global network and the limited availability of licenses and rights are significant barriers to entry, there are some competitors:
Basicly, there are satellite systems that might come on line sometime around 2008 (if they get funding) that might maybe be able to carry a small portion of the traffic.
There are "consortium" owned cables currently in place, being laid and in the planning stage. Interesting thing is that many of the "club members" are also Global Crossing customers (MCI Worldcom, AT&T, British Telecom....)
And of course, the closest thing to a real competitor, Project Oxygen. As soon as they find a few billion dollars they might actually start laying some fiber:
zdnet.com Project Oxygen Misses Fund Date
By Denise Culver, Special To Inter@ctive Week January 11, 1999 11:29 AM ET
The new year was supposed to start on a high note for the backbone builders at Project Oxygen, with the completion of the first stage of funding for the global fiber-optic network. But the self-imposed Dec. 31, 1998, deadline for funding completion passed with no announced progress.
Officials at CTR Group, the start-up behind Project Oxygen, attribute the delay to the slowdown of business activity during the holidays, but at press time they would not say when they expect funding to be completed.
The delay could raise questions about the future of Project Oxygen, which has yet to install Mile One of its promised 168,000-kilometer, global fiber-optic network, scheduled to begin service in late 2000. But industry watchers say the project already has changed the business model for global network operators.
"Whether Project Oxygen ever accomplishes what it says it will accomplish isn't what's important," says Michael Ruddy, a senior fiber-optic analyst at Pioneer Consulting, which recently completed a market report on international telecom networks. "What is important is that Project Oxygen has made the entire submarine cable business rethink its ideas about how business should be done. If Project Oxygen doesn't see its business plan to fruition, some other company will come along and take those ideas and make them work."
Project Oxygen's biggest impact is on the way international operators price their bandwidth, Ruddy says. Rather than sell capacity on a point-to-point basis as backbone operators do now, Project Oxygen is selling capacity on an any-to-any basis, which means its carrier or corporate customers can route traffic to and from any of the network's planned 99 access points in 78 countries, regardless of the distance involved.
Project Oxygen is selling 100 gigabits per second of capacity for $200 million, 30 Gbps for $100 million, 10 Gbps for $50 million and 1.24 Gbps for $10 million. The prices are for 25-year contracts.
Under this arrangement, a carrier that pays $200 million can put 100 Gbps of traffic onto the network through any number of landing points on the network and can buy additional capacity in increments of 1.24 Gbps .
Customers can change the landing points they use and the amount of traffic they route through each of those points at no extra cost, says Neil Tagare, chairman and chief executive officer of CTR Group. "If you have eight circuits total, with four going to Europe and four going to Japan, and you suddenly realize that you need two circuits going to Australia, you can take two of your original circuits and redirect them to Australia for no additional cost," he says.
Tagare sees this flexibility as a key difference for transnational backbone customers. "Instead of having to try to predict where your traffic is going to go, you just buy the access and use it to go anywhere in the network that you want it to go," he says. "That kind of flexibility isn't found on other cables."
Along with flexibility, Project Oxygen offers significantly lower bandwidth prices, according to Tagare. Under the Project Oxygen pricing plan, an STM-1 (155-megabit-per-second) circuit costs roughly $2.5 million between any two points on the network. Today, undersea cable operators charge anywhere from $3.9 million to $22.8 million for an STM-1 connection, depending on the locations being connected, Tagare says.
According to Tagare, some 40 carriers have signed commitments to buy capacity on Project Oxygen, representing more than $1 billion in business. But competitors continue to ask for cold, hard proof that the system will ever be more than just a concept.
Global Crossing Ltd., which is building a series of regional undersea networks that it will link together as a global net, already has service up and running on the high-traffic trans-Atlantic route, and its project financing is complete, says Cynthia Coulter, Global Crossing's vice president of corporate communications.
Global Crossing's first system, Atlantic Crossing, is a 40-Gbps system that links the U.S. with Germany, the Netherlands and the U.K. The U.S.-to-U.K. segment went into commercial service in May 1998, and the full ring will be in service next month, Coulter says, adding that capacity will be upgraded to 80 Gbps at that point.
Pending completion of its other regional routes, Global Crossing expects to have landing points in the world's 100 biggest cities by 2000, at which point it will offer access to 80 percent of the world's major traffic routes.
In contrast, work on the first phase of Project Oxygen has been held up pending completion of its first round of financing. When and if financing is completed, work will begin on building an Atlantic ring that will connect North and South America, the Caribbean and Europe.
In addition to the $3 billion in first-round financing, Project Oxygen will need another $7 billion, which Tagare plans to raise through equity investment and loans. The current timetable calls for completion of a Pacific ring by mid-2001, a Mediterranean ring by the end of 2001 and several other regional rings to create a global network by the beginning of 2003.
"There is no question that Global Crossing is miles ahead in terms of laying the cable and actually getting service up and running," Ruddy says.
But Ruddy dismisses the idea raised by some industry analysts that Project Oxygen could fall victim to a global bandwidth glut. "There is no question that this industry needs more companies laying cable," he says. "We're not hearing carriers say, 'Oh, I have plenty of bandwidth.' We're hearing carriers say that they need the capacity, and there just isn't enough out there to meet the needs they have."
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