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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Elmer who wrote (51290)	2/28/1999 11:21:00 PM
From: RDM	Respond to of 1573075

<You'll see 1 Ghz next year.> Thats what makes a horse race! I must admit it is coming quicker than I would have believed 6 months ago. While my interpretation of the reward data may be pessimitic, I think objectively demo plus two years should be conservative and this is not next year, but Feb 2001 just to quibble. However, I do agree that progress does not always come uniformly through time. I just field that the challeges to double the throughput of 500 Mhz machines, stretch a lot of things and 1 Ghz is 1 nanosecond cycle time. I know it is all on the chip but 1 GHZ is very fast and needs 200+ Mhz processor buses to keep it going. The power is also a problem. The 30+ watts of the K6-III and Pentium III will be replaced by higher power levels, perhaps 50 watts or more. So we need in volume production: 1. New architectures (K7/Forster) 2. New busses 3. New support chips 4. New heat sinks/fans 5. New "advanced synchronous" DRAMs 6. New Test equipment for new buses/chips You may be right about the end of 2000, but it is far from a sure thing!