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Technology Stocks : DRIV (DIGITAL RIVER). Get in on internet IPO. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: David Browning who wrote (1167)3/1/1999 9:59:00 AM
From: Mr. Miller  Respond to of 3198
 
Thanks to Browning and Duke for the additional perspective.

Someone was kind enough to post, on the YHOO board, this from theStreet.com:

A Random Walk at the Robbie Stephens Conference
By Andrew Stern
Special to TheStreet.com
2/28/99 2:11 PM ET

SAN FRANCISCO -- Attending a conference like the BancBoston Robertson Stephens Technology '99
Conference is like going to a candy store, without knowing which candies to buy.
There were more than 300 presenting companies spread over four days, each day starting at eight
and finishing at five. Four companies present every half-hour, each having exactly 25 minutes to
address the crowd. Presenters, usually CEOs or CFOs, face an NBA-like clock that, when it reaches
zero, emits beeps that sound much like garbage trucks backing up.

How to decide which companies to hear? I looked at the program and decided I did not want to
hear the big companies like Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq), Sun Microsystems (SUNW:Nasdaq), Microsoft
(MSFT:Nasdaq) and America Online (AOL:NYSE). They go to these meetings all the time; and if
they had something new to say, I would quickly hear about it anyway. I decided to learn more
about some of the smaller, less well known companies.

I heard CheckFree Holdings (CKFR:Nasdaq) and liked what they had to say: an unlimited future in
electronic check processing on the Internet. But when I asked an analyst who was sitting next to
me about the company, he said it wasn't a good buy because Microsoft might enter the business.
Checkfree CEO Peter Kight had said that Microsoft might enter the business, but hadn't yet
processed one transaction.

I then heard E*Trade's (EGRP:Nasdaq) glitzy presentation, then one from Ticketmaster
Online-CitySearch's (PRGN:Nasdaq) young CEO, who showed lots of charts. He said you could buy
tickets for a seat at a basketball game on their site, and with virtual-reality technology, you would
be able to preview the view from the seat, but that was still, err, in the lab.

As I sipped a cup of coffee between sessions, a bunch of analysts next to me said they all had to
hear Peregrine Systems (PRGN:Nasdaq), a hot company that offers "IT infrastructure management
solutions." The room was overflowing, the charts pointed up (they all do, of course). I tried hard to
understand what the company does, but CEO Stephen Gardner seemed to speak in another
language: Large company managers were "addicted to infrastructure," and needed Peregrine's
enterprise infrastructure management application software. It was only after he told us that the FBI
was using this software, that I began to listen more carefully, deciding I'd really better learn more
about this company. .....

By now I was too tired to move, so I decided to stay for the next presentation, a company with the
appealing name of Digital River (DRIV:Nasdaq). Suddenly there was a huge rush of people entering
the room, and I was glad I had a seat. The company's stock had a 52-week range between 5 and
61 3/8, closing at 38 1/2 Friday. Digital River makes it possible to download software on the Web
directly onto a computer.

Now this is something I could understand. Standing not far from me was Ron Elijah, manager of a
couple of Robertson Stephens mutual funds Information Age and Value and Growth. After the
presentation, I asked him if he had ever heard of Digital River. He said no -- but that there had
been such a huge rush to get in that he thought he should check it out.


Maybe this was the phenomenon that an Iowa hedge fund manager had told me about. He said he
sometimes decides to buy a stock because he "feels the energy flowing into it." I asked what it felt
like, and he said: "I know it when I see it." Sounds like the Supreme Court's definition of
pornography.

Miller



To: David Browning who wrote (1167)3/1/1999 10:24:00 AM
From: fiberman  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3198
 
What are the chances of MSFT just buying DRIV? They will then control this market as well. But do they want to?