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To: John Pitera who wrote (22484)3/1/1999 12:24:00 PM
From: Defrocked  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
Think about the implications the growing US interest
differentials have for Japanese debt issuance
and monetization of bank loans. March's
action in Nikkei could be interesting as the
authorities have been striving mightily to exceed
and hold the 14,000 level. Except for the last
two trading sessions, I believe, Nikkei has
usually rallied in last hour to highs of the
day suggesting to me govt. intervention. In contrast, last
night Nikkei fell 1% to 14,221.8, all of the drop occurring
in last hour. Printing presses and off-balance-sheet
transactions will be working extra hard in Japan in
preparation for EOF year. JMHO.

(Its amazing to me that reports coming out of Japan suggest
authorities still believe they control bond yields.)



To: John Pitera who wrote (22484)3/1/1999 6:39:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
that's old timer thinking. It ain't gonna work that way this time IMO. ALL dollar assets should sell off. Was it bullish for the Brazilian Rea'l when her bonds and stocks started selling off? Nope.

And we have a trade DEFICIT. The fuindamentals are not in favor of the dollar. It will be sold when stocks begin their crash, and not until then. Keep in mind this past Summer, the dollar didn't break at all until the 500 point minicrash on Aug 30th, after that it BOMBED for 2 months. I am looking for the same.