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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (7264)	3/1/1999 8:52:00 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Small caps will not outperform in this bull market. They are dead and have been dead for quite sometime. Now if you get a BBB (big bad bear) market and a lot of people see their big caps cut down to size for and extended period of time, then the small caps will get a second chance as people may choose try something different. Otherwise why would anyone leave DELL to buy MUEI or leave AMAT to buy CYMI? The big caps need to sell off and stay down for a few months (more like a year) before the small caps rise again. just my opinion Sun Tzu

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (7264)	3/1/1999 8:57:00 PM
From: bobby beara	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 99985

Ron, more charts, pay particular attention to the IBM chart. shahar.nets.com:2000/bobby.html <>>>The Economist? <<?? wasn't Irving Fisher an Economist? Japan is bottoming, can't you smell the bearish sentiment. The Dollar is topping, I'm going to upload a $ chart soon. I forgot. be sure and scroll down on the hard asset chart.

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (7264)	3/1/1999 9:05:00 PM
From: Terry Whitman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Ron. I wouldn't place any bets on the small caps here. This is a bubble, a mania, a once in a lifetime market event. For a good description on the formentation of a bubble, see this subject- Subject 20359 >>5. The base of the bubble narrows at the top. At first the best tulips go up, then all tulips go up, at then end a select few tulips go ballistic. Then all tulips crash together, usually there are one or two dead cat bounces.<< Even if this is not a bubble, and just a tired bull market, history shows that the small caps will suffer as much as the rest when the bear arrives (I think he has arrived already). The final phase of a bull market is marked by a narrow advance in the indexes on the backs of blue chip and speculative stocks. This bull is begging for the sword. We've got housewives daytrading internet stocks, 12 year old penny stock gurus, wide public participation in the form of mutual and index funds, TV networks dedicated to stocks, tow truck drivers buying islands, and that's just a start.. I don't need the pitbull -10 crash index to warn me to go cash. I'm already there. <g> Now where's my velcro suit? Regards, TW