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Non-Tech : Iomega Thread without Iomega -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: David S. who wrote (7924)3/4/1999 9:18:00 AM
From: Tom Carroll  Respond to of 10072
 
RE: Assisting That Trickle-Down

David and all,

You're right about the trickling-down of low-price
stocks at the moment, but in the case of Iomega,
that trickling-down has been helped a little of
late. Take a look at the intraday charts for the
last few days. The price and the volume just
mope along until 3 p.m. or maybe 3:30 p.m.,
at which point there are a couple of relatively
largish sales that help insure a low closing price.
Such sales bursts are occurring on no news.

This has happened repeatedly in the last couple
of years whenever the price has been drifting
down on low volume in a quiet period when nothing
newsworthy was happening. For me, at least, this
is a strong indicator that there are still some
very powerful shorts out there trying to beat
this stock down as much as possible. In late
1995 and very early 1996, a whole lot of
shorting of this stock took place, at what
is now (after splits) a price substantially
below $6 a share. Some of 'em are still around,
I think, and they're doing what they can to
leverage their positions to minimize loss.
IMHO, of course.

As far as I'm concerned, the issues with IOM
aren't whether it's going to tank to zilch
versus become the next Intel. This is silly
polarization brought on by the nutcases on
this thread repeating gloom-and-doom scenarios
endlessly. The issue is whether IOM is going
to continue to have modest success and modest
earnings growth, in which case its current
price or just a bit higher is going to be
the norm for a long time, or is going to
ramp up as either the Zip or the Clik!
become ubiquitous. It's going to be another
six months to a year, as I see it, before
we get another hint about how this is going
to play out. As was said when Kim Edwards
left, it's about whether this is going to
be a two billion dollar firm or a ten billion
dollar firm. I'm betting on the latter.

Cheers, Tom (long IOM)