LCSG Report just out, stock beginning to move:
---------------------------------------- BFN PREMIUM STOCK PICK NEWSLETTER March 4, 1999 Issue #4
A Business Financial Network Publication bizfn.com ----------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------- LCS Golf, Inc. Exchange and Ticker: OTC BB: LCSG 52 week trading range: $0.125 - $1.78 Recent: $1 Shares outstanding: 6.2 million fully diluted Float: 3 million ---------------------------------------------------
LCS GOLF: THE CHEAPEST INTERNET RETAILER? We certainly think so.
It has been a while since we issued a comprehensive update on LCS Golf. There was a dry spell of news from LCSG, and the significance and breadth of the most recent acquisition of Golf Promo Direct, Inc. took a little time to analyze. Within this report, we outline projected revenues from all of LCS Golf's components. The bottom-up price targets generated as a result of those revenue projections are as bullish as ever. Some of this report builds upon past reports, so some information contained within may be familiar. We have many new subscribers who may not be familiar yet with LCSG, so we have written this report with a review of past material. Also, because of the synergistic nature of LCSG's acquisitions over the past several months, it is important to see how the different business components build upon one another.
LCS Golf is a holding company taking advantage of opportunities in the golf and golf-related industries, specifically via the internet. LCS Golf acquired 100% of GolfUniverse.com golfuniverse.com on Sept. 9, 1998. GolfUniverse.com's revenue will be derived from two sources: advertising at their web site and online commerce. As a total information and commerce site for golf, they should attract a substantial amount of revenues from equipment manufacturers, resorts, and more broadly, anyone interested in targeting this affluent demographic niche.
GolfUniverse.com has established the Universe Store, an online catalog, from which they will collect commissions from suppliers who sell through the site. They will stress both the business-to-business sales and retail customers. Golf shops, country clubs, driving ranges, and sports equipment stores will be able to purchase from multiple manufacturers at one site. The great thing for LCSG is that they will not have to carry any of the inventory. They really have latched on to a great business model and married two rapidly growing industries: online commerce and golf.
The web site golfuniverse.com is hog heaven for any golf lover. The site has a database of 24,000+ golf courses, and a directory of products and service providers addressing every possible golf-related need.
Another significant deal was announced on Nov. 19, 1998 between LCS Golf and Play Golf Now Inc. They announced a joint venture in which they would cross-market goods and services through all media, especially through their web sites, golfuniverse.com and playgolfnow.com. Play Golf Now sells discount golf memberships. Members receive discounts at golf courses, driving ranges, resorts, and they also get deals on golf instruction and equipment. Specific deals include discounts at 2,000 golf facilities throughout the US, Canada and Europe, 2,100 hotels inns and resorts in the US, Canada, Mexico, Caribbean and Europe, and 3,000 restaurants. Play Golf Now gets revenues from sales of its Golf discount card and advertising on its web site and newsletter. They also get fees from joint marketing and the renting of their mailing list database. The company has marketing alliances with Golf Digest, Quest International, Marriot International, Ezlinks golf, IMALL, PC world shoppers showcase and others.
Revenues generated from sales on the GolfUniverse.com site will be split on 50/50 basis. The two sites will also cross promote each other's web sites through banner ads located throughout their respective sites. Commenting on the joint venture, Play Golf Now President, Alex Bruni stated, "I am thrilled with our new association with LCS Golf. E-commerce success is a direct function of site awareness and Play Golf Now participates in a Partners Program with over 300 unique websites linked to www.playgolfnow.com. The greater the awareness of a web site equates to greater number of hits which results in more sales. It is clear that GolfUniverse.com and Play Golf Now are perfectly complementary and synergistic. By combining our efforts and marketing capabilities, our ability to be successful increases exponentially. I look forward to a long-term relationship with Dr. Michael Mitchell and LCS Golf. The joint marketing of our golf membership programs is just the beginning for our two companies.''
The company's acquisition of Play Golf Now Inc. (http://playgolfnow.com ) was an excellent strategic move by CEO Dr. Mitchell. The company achieves vertical integration with an expanded range of products and services for golfers and LCSG significantly increases its web presence with this one acquisition. On Feb. 4, 1999, LCS Golf (LCSG otc bb) announced that it acquired a 100% interest in Golf Promo, Inc. Golf Promo is an internet direct marketing firm that with a database of 3.2 million golfers. The database gives LCS Golf the capability to: -- Direct market specific Golf Universe and Play Golf Now products and services. -- Offer the marketing capability to other companies wishing to target market their own products, services and web sites. -- Drive traffic to the GolfUniverse.com and Play Golf Now web sites. LCSG's acquisition of Golf Promo, Inc. expands the vertical integration and deepens the horizontal integration. The synergies are truly tremendous and the combined online presence and e-retail potential is far more valuable than the sum of the original parts.
Commenting on this newest addition to the company, LCS Golf President and CEO Dr. Michael Mitchell stated, ''Golf Promo, Inc. is a critical and invaluable component to our organization. Our ability to cost effectively and efficiently target market golfers is now largely unparalleled. This acquisition will be instrumental in significantly increasing not only our overall business but also the rate in which we can grow our business."
Other Sources of Revenue:
Late last year, LCS Golf acquired Mister B III, a Florida-based developer, manufacturer and distributor of home health and therapeutic magnet products. Mister B III is a leader in therapeutic magnet technology and this acquisition fits in extremely well among the golf equipment product line. Golfers are generally fit, and interested in their health. They are also generally older and fairly affluent. That is a very good target demographic for home health and an alternative therapeutic remedy such as magnets. The internet is clearly an ideal distribution system for such products.
On Dec. 15, 1998, LCS Golf announced that Joe Namath will be the national spokesperson and appear in an infomercial to market the therapeutic magnet products of newly acquired Mister B. III. Under the terms of the agreement, Mr. Namath will use and endorse the magnet products publicly. Additionally, the company has received licensing rights to use Mr. Namath's name and character in connection with advertising, promotion, sale and distribution of the endorsed products.
Commenting on the agreement with Mr. Namath, LCS Golf's President and CEO Dr. Michael Mitchell stated, ''This is a major coup for LCS Golf. Clearly Joe's name and reputation precede him. I am confident that Joe's endorsement through our infomercial will be highly effective in dramatically increasing sales of the therapeutic magnets. Mister B III has a terrific product with distribution into major high-profile retail chains. The infomercial coupled with the offering of the product on LCS's GolfUniverse.com will perfectly compliment the marketing effort.''
Golf Promo, Inc.
The database of more than 3 million golfers obtained in the Golf Promo, Inc. is a great target audience for the magnets and other therapeutic products. This leads to the hidden revenue potential of the other Golf Promo databases. Although the firm's primary focus is in target marketing to the golf community, it also maintains an extensive database of individuals associated with travel, healthcare, and the stock market. As such, direct marketing efforts will be able to be executed for other industries in addition to golf. Target marketing efforts can be undertaken with segmentations by state and geographical regions of the country. In fact, Business Financial Network is considering send out a mailing about our web sites and newsletters to about 200,000 golfers within the New York and California databases.
If after increased marketing of the list, LCS Golf can send out mailings to 1 million golfers 300 days/year, then LCSG will generate $1.2 million in revenue. The potential of the non golf databases is also very large. The stock market list could be rented at a rate of $.20 per email to 100,000 or more interested parties each week. That along would be another $1 million in annual revenue.
Potential Revenue Sources
Revenue Projections Our Projections (Stated by Co.)
Mister B III w/o infomercial $6 million $6 million Mister B III Infomercial $7-10 million $10 million + Ecommerce $1-2 million $5 million Golf Promo Direct None stated $3 million
LCSG conservatively projected Mister B III revenue of $6 million and infomercial sales of an additional $7-$10 million. I do not have firm numbers, but I have been told that the Ginsu Knives' infomercial generated $100 million, so the $10 million figure is a number we think is very much a low ball estimate. The company estimated revenues from e-commerce of $1-$2 million. With the acquisition of Play Golf Now and Golf Promo synergies, that number should rise in excess of $5 million.
So we will put an estimate of at least $24 million in revenues for 1999. At 1X sales, that is about a $3 1/2 stock price; at 2X sales, that's a $7-8 stock price; and at 3X sales, that's about $11 1/2. We have been using 2-3X sales in our stock price projections which is about a 90% discount to the price to sales ratios of other internet companies, even after the recent correction. Given our confidence in the company and the management, we reiterate our previously 6-12 month price target on LCSG to at least $5 and our 18-24 month price target to $10.
DISCLAIMER
Business Financial Network is not a Registered Investment Advisor or a Broker / Dealer. Readers are advised that this electronic publication is issued solely for information purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy.
The opinions and analysis included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable and in good faith but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. The foregoing discussion contains forward-looking statements which are based on current expectations and differences can be expected.
The information contained herein has been provided by the Company to Business Financial Network for information purposes only; in addition, the information contained in this report is not intended to be a complete discussion of information regarding some of the current and/or intended business activities of the Company.
Readers are urged to consult with independent financial advisors with respect to an investment in the shares mentioned herein. Investors should review a complete information package on the Company, which should include, but not be limited to, the Company's annual report, quarterly report, press releases, as well as all regulatory filings. All information contained in this report should be independently verified with the Company mentioned herein. Any opinions expressed in this report are statements of judgment as of the date of publication and are subject to change without further notice, and may not necessarily be reprinted in future publications or elsewhere. Neither Business Financial Network nor its officers, directors, partners or employees / consultants accept liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents.
Employees and/or principals of Business Financial Network may purchase shares on a voluntary basis in the open market and may buy or sell shares in this company or others without prior notification depending on market conditions and personal financial circumstances.
THE READER SHOULD VERIFY ALL CLAIMS AND DO THEIR OWN DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE INVESTING IN ANY SECURITIES MENTIONED. INVESTING IN SECURITIES IS SPECULATIVE AND CARRIES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK.
We encourage the reader to review the investing information available with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") at sec.gov and / or the National Association of Securities Dealers ("NASD") at nasdr.com. Readers can review all public filings by the Company at the SEC's EDGAR page. The NASD has published information on how to invest carefully at its web site.
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