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To: Zardoz who wrote (29378)3/4/1999 5:14:00 PM
From: John Hunt  Respond to of 116903
 
Re Option Answer

Hi Hutch,

Thanks, I will study it as soon as I recover from the 24" of snow here.

Appreciate it.

John




To: Zardoz who wrote (29378)3/4/1999 7:32:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116903
 
Euro sinks to record low

ECB President Wim Duisenberg is worried about exchange rates

The euro has sunk to a record low against the dollar,
leaving it more than 6% below the value at which it was
launched.

A euro is now worth $1.08, but those
charged with looking after the new
currency's fortunes say it is more a
matter of dollar strength than euro
weakness.

The European Central Bank (ECB)
decision to leave interest rates
unchanged at 3% did little to improve
the euro's exchange value.

A rate cut would have only served to weaken the
currency further.

It was only the ECB's second meeting since the launch
of Europe's single currency.

A lack of apparent inflationary pressure did not persuade
bank chiefs to cut rates, despite intense pressure from
German finance minister Oskar Lafontaine.

Concern about the condition of the German economy
may be one of the factors undermining the euro's value.

Its unemployment is relatively high and there have been
worrying signs about rapidly slowing economic growth.

Inflation subdued

One of the main arguments
in favour of a rate cut is the
continuing fall in eurozone
inflation which was only 0.8%
in January, compared with
1.1% a year earlier. It was
unchanged from a month
earlier.

The rate is strongly
influenced by the situation in
Germany, whose economy
accounts for a third of the
region. Inflation there was
just 0.2%.

In calling for a rate cut, Germany's finance minister
Oskar Lafontaine said: "Inflation in Europe is at an
all-time low and producer prices are falling by around
2%, with this situation long-term rates are around 3.5%,
higher than gross domestic product growth."

However, those against a rate cut cite fears of possible
inflationary pressure from the 4.2% wage settlement
reached last month in Germany's engineering industry.

Euro weakness

The dollar's strength has continued to put pressure on
the euro.

This boosts the prospects for European exporters,
although the prospects for growth this year in the
eurozone are projected to be less than 2%.

A cut in European rates at
the moment could only
worsen the euro's decline -
especially if US interest rates
look like they will rise.

ECB President Wim
Duisenberg blamed the
strength of the US economy
for the currency's decline,
saying the euro's fall
represented dollar strength
rather than euro weakness.

However, he also blamed European politicians who have
tried to exert political pressure on the ECB's monetary
policy.

Some central bankers oppose a rate cut for political
reasons, not wanting to be seen to be compromising the
bank's independence by giving in to pressure.

Rates held in January

The ECB's governing council decided to keep interest
rates on hold at their first post-launch meeting last
month.

The decision was widely expected.

Mr Duisenberg said the outlook for inflation was
"favourable," but that developments in credit markets
needed to be closely watched.

Interest rates were at historically low levels, but
exchange rates needed close monitoring, he said.

Annual growth of the M3 measure of money supply rose
in the three months to January to 4.9%, up from 4.7% in
December and above the ECB's target of 4.5%.

Both M3, which reflects how much individuals are
borrowing, and the exchange rate are seen as indicating
the outlook for inflation. Higher prices for imported goods
because of a weak euro could eventually see inflation
rise.
news.bbc.co.uk