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To: Paul Engel who wrote (75451)3/5/1999 12:30:00 AM
From: Jim McMannis  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 186894
 
Intel needs a "reality" check!
zdnet.com



To: Paul Engel who wrote (75451)3/5/1999 12:33:00 AM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 186894
 
Networking chip buy signals new Intel thrust
By Ben Heskett and Wylie Wong
Staff Writers, CNET NEWS.COM
March 4, 1999, 6:35 p.m. PT

Are you ready for Intel?

The chip giant's core market may be PCs, but the company's latest move signals a new and different thrust into the
networking industry.

Over the last year, the Santa Clara, California-based firm has made a variety of bandwidth-oriented investments,
though none approaching today's $2.2 billion acquisition of Level One Communications, the largest purchase in
the company's history. And unlike previous attempts to gain a foothold in the market for equipment used to
connect computers in small and medium businesses, Intel now seems to want to be a bandwidth facilitator,
providing chips that speed data to a PC over a high-speed connection.

The massive investment in a leading maker of communications components for telecom and corporate networking
equipment is a clear sign that Intel wants to bridge the worlds of PCs and high-speed networking. Included in
Level One's portfolio is an array of technology for digital subscriber lines, or DSL, a high-speed alternative that is
expected to take off over the next few years along with cable-based alternatives.

The acquisition also hints at Intel's worries about competitive pressures and a potential slowdown in the PC chip
market.

"This is a tacit admission that they have concerns about the growth in the microprocessor business. And it's a
signal of a new strategic direction for the company," said Fred Zieber, analyst with Pathfinder Research.

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Intel continues to move on a variety of fronts in networking, not necessarily with the aim of challenging the likes of
Cisco Systems in high-end businesses, but likely with the intention of applying the same practices it's used with so
much success to drive sales of PCs. Executives have long articulated a desire to facilitate a network of 1 billion
connected computers in the next decade, with the aim of providing the components to make that happen.

"Every one of those computers connects to something else on the other end of the wire," said Mark Christensen,
vice president and general manager of Intel's network communications group,
explaining the rationale for the agreement.

"There's a tremendous opportunity in the wide variety of high-bandwidth
technologies," he said.

Analysts said the move is atypical of the firm, but high-pressure market dynamics in
PC chips could be the motivation for Intel, given the higher prices associated with
networking components.

"Intel typically makes investments in companies that are key in improving the PC
market. This is very different from that," said Nathan Brookwood, a principal at
Insight 64, a microprocessor consulting firm. "This is not like a software product that
might drive demand for high-end Intel processors, such as investing in Linux-type
companies."

Intel needs to enter new markets to continue the company's growth due to increased competition from Advanced
Micro Devices and National Semiconductor has eroded Intel's sales in the PC microprocessor market,
Brookwood said.

Suppliers to communications companies geared to building the Internet infrastructure sell their chips for $60 to
$70, Brookwood said. "That's good for any semiconductor vendor. Rather than start from scratch, they decided
to go with an established presence in that market and it's potentially a large market."

Intel will square off in the marketplace with Lucent Technologies' semiconductor division and Broadcom, among
others.

Pointing out that Intel is already in the networking business, Bill Ruehle, Broadcom's chief financial officer, said the
Level One purchase creates a chance for Broadcom to steal market share from its rival. Because Intel goes
against Bay Networks, 3Com, and Cisco in the low-end hub, switch, and Ethernet markets, Ruehle believes those
networking companies will now prefer to purchase their chips from a company that doesn't compete with them.

"If you had a choice of buying a product from one or two vendors and one competes with you on product lines
and one didn't and their products were equal, what would you do?" Ruehle asked rhetorically.

Broadcom, which generates 40 percent of its revenue in the chip business for networking companies and 60
percent in digital set-top boxes and cable modems, hopes to exploit the distractions that could come from Level
One's proposed purchase, Ruehl said.

Level One currently counts the likes of Cisco, Lucent, and Tellabs as customers, among a slew of others.

Still, Intel chief Craig Barrett's interest in this sector is easy to understand. In the next three years, sales of
communications chips are expected to rise twice as fast as sales of microprocessors, which provide most of Intel's
revenue, according to market researcher Dataquest. Intel's networking sector products now contribute less than
10 percent of the company's $26 billion in annual revenue.

"The industry is maturing, now that it's getting the attention of the semiconductor people," noted Amos Wilnai,
founder and interim CEO of MMC Networks, a maker of advanced switching chipsets.

The chip giant's move comes as it preps for an anti-trust trial that begins next week. Since the company has little
presence in the networking market, the acquisition may not raise too many eyebrows with regulators.

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To: Paul Engel who wrote (75451)3/5/1999 1:02:00 AM
From: puborectalis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
UPGRADE
Intel insight

By Hiawatha Bray, Globe Columnist, 03/04/99

icrosoft Corp.'s antitrust trial has gone into recess, and already I miss
the sheer entertainment value of it. Antitrust trials aren't supposed to
be fun. But then, the leaders of the world's most feared corporation aren't
supposed to seem like gibbering half-wits, either. But that's how they looked
after Justice Department hired gun David Boies cross-examined them.

What will the feds do for an encore? Well, the Federal Trade Commission
will square off against chip maker Intel Corp. next week, in an effort to
prove Intel has abused its power in the microchip market. Another amusing
fiasco? I doubt it. Intel will go into its trial with advantages that should allow
the firm to avoid utter humiliation, and to perhaps even prevail.

For one thing, the witness list features Andrew Grove, Intel's chairman and
former chief executive. You don't know how smart a move this is unless
you've met both Gates and Grove.

Eventually, we'll all have computers that are capable of transmitting
conversation. When that day arrives, everybody will know what it's like to
question Bill Gates. For all his incandescent smarts, Gates radiates an eerie
sense of disconnection from the world of flesh and blood.

This may have been one reason why Gates testified in a video deposition for
the Microsoft trial, rather than in person. If so, it didn't work. The man's
creepy detachment was in full effect, made worse by answers that must have
seemed sly to Gates but appeared arrogant and evasive to everybody else.

Grove, on the other hand, is easily the most engaging and likable computer
industry executive I've met. I think it's because he's a grown-up - a
Hungarian refugee from communism who worked as a busboy to pay his
way through City College of New York. Grove had a fully-formed adult life
before he'd ever heard of a PC, and it shows. He won't make Intel look
bad, and as the Microsoft experience proves, that counts for a lot.

In addition, Intel has some decent arguments on its side. Remember what the
FTC case is all about. Computer companies that build Intel chips into their
machines need detailed technical information on those chips. In the midst of
intellectual property disputes with Digital Equipment Corp., Intergraph
Corp., and Compaq Computer Corp., Intel cut off access to this technical
information. The FTC charges that Intel could harm rivals by withholding this
information.

But only one of the companies - Digital, now owned by Compaq - made a
competing chip. The others weren't direct Intel competitors. Can Intel
engage in unfair competition with noncompetitors? That's a tricky new
excursion in antitrust law.

Intel's biggest advantage in the case becomes apparent by reading the latest
computer sales figures. The case against the company ultimately rests on the
idea that Intel has monopolized the microprocessor market, just as
Microsoft monopolizes desktop operating systems with its Windows
software. Microsoft says that despite its 90 percent market share, it's not a
monopoly - a silly claim that has undermined Microsoft's credibility.

For years, Intel's share of the processor chip market has also hovered in the
90 percent range. But last week, Intel got a timely bit of bad news. In
January, 43 percent of all PCs sold in retail stores used K6 chips from Intel's
rival, Advanced Micro Devices Inc., according to PC Data Inc. Only 40
percent of the machines had Intel inside.

According to International Data Corp., Intel's still far in front of the overall
chip market, with 75 percent of all PCs sold in the fourth quarter. But that's
down from 87 percent the year before.

Intel may have had a monopoly when the FTC began filing its papers June 8,
but it's begun to dissolve even before the trial starts. Last month, the FTC
amended its complaint to attack Intel's dominance in computer
motherboards, which suggests the government's case looks a lot weaker
than it did a few months ago.

The FTC may still beat Intel, but it won't be a Microsoft-style
carpet-bombing. Intel has good arguments on its side, a dwindling market
share, and a legal team that's had a chance to learn from Microsoft's
disasters. I expect a traditional antitrust case - orderly, workmanlike, and
dull. Too bad.