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Technology Stocks : Hummingbird Comm. (HUMC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: David Carlson who wrote (1811)3/5/1999 6:34:00 PM
From: Vahe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2018
 
The market does not seem to like it. Why?



To: David Carlson who wrote (1811)3/7/1999 5:21:00 PM
From: Mitch Vine  Respond to of 2018
 
Borrowed from the Yahoo board....

Growth Track Effects
by: sheldrake9
1935 of 1935
HUM's fundamental price problem has been driven by the decline in its growth rate. The BI division, while now having an acceptable growth rate,
accounts for only 25% of the total sales mix and, as such is diluted by the plateau, or even decline in connectivity sales. Even the 92% increase in
BI sales wasn't enough to overcome the 15% decline in Connectivity sales.

With the addition of DOCS the two high growth divisions will acount for 58% of the sales mix. Using the latest reported quarters from the two
companies we would have a product mix that is 42% connectivity (instead of 75%), 14% BI (instead of 25%), and 44% DOCS. With respective
growth rates of -15%, +92%, and +52%, we would have had an overall growth rate of +29% instead of -2%.

Prior to the DOCS takeover HUM has been crawling along with a PE of about 12. With a growth rate of 29% that PE would have been a lot
higher: a PEG of 1.0 would have given a PE of 29.

If HUM can get back to being valued as a growth company rather than as a value company, then we give Fred full marks for the takeover.

And we now have $200 million in cash in the kitty, instead of $140 milliom!