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To: Tiley who wrote (20122)3/5/1999 3:07:00 PM
From: Clint E.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70272
 
Hi Manish;

CSCO should do 104, especially if it closes above 100 today.

VRIO, I am not sure. I was just looking at it and it seems to me that they want to push it higher and if the nets don't tank(scary to think that the nets will tank now), it should do high 40s.

Clint



To: Tiley who wrote (20122)3/7/1999 10:34:00 PM
From: Clint E.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70272
 
investor.msn.com



Robertson Stephens Tech '99 Coverage, Part II
In last week's article, I promised to catch up with more of the sights
and sounds of Tech '99, the Robertson Stephens technology
stock-fest. Here are a few notes; more to come next time.

Bandwidth, baby: We've talked a lot about the soaring stocks of
consumer Internet service providers MindSpring Enterprises (MSPG),
EarthLink Network (ELNK) and America Online (AOL), but there are a
couple of other ideas that have not yet hit the mainstream. Near the
top of anyone's Web value list today should be Verio (VRIO), which
impressed investors at the conference with its strategy of becoming
the leading ISP for the nation's millions of small- to medium-sized
businesses that don't have in-house IT staffs to focus on Internet
working issues.

A Verio executive noted that despite strong competition from MCI
WorldCom (WCOM), the Baby Bells and the likes of MindSpring, the
nation's tiny independent ISPs still have 50% of the business market.
The reason: Small businesses like the idea of being able to call a
local salesman or technician for help. Verio is buying up a lot of those
small ISPs around the world and keeping their local sales forces in
place. The exec said only 15% of small U.S. businesses today are on
the Net, but ultimately you can bet they will all be hooked up and
require hosting services. He called it a $100 billion market, and no
one around me flinched.

Verio also has a strong OEM business. Four of the six top regional
Bell operating companies use the company for Web hosting, which
means that even when a small business thinks it's signing up with a
Bell company to host its online widget catalog, it has actually become
a Verio customer. (The names of the OEM clients are confidential).
And in addition to providing connectivity, Verio is ramping up a
program that will let small businesses rent time on super-expensive
enterprise resource planning software from companies like
PeopleSoft (PSFT).

The company recently completed a $400 million bond offering that
spooked investors, and it has not wrung expenses out of its 60-plus
acquisitions as quickly as many expected. Last quarter's results were
moderately disappointing, so the stock is not much above the level at
which it became public last May. With the current price rising 10% this
week to $31.50 after positive comments from CIBC Oppenheimer, it
could see further strong appreciation if it stays on track -- either on its
own or as "monster meat," the current slang for strong niche
companies that could be acquired by Web industry giants. Already, a
unit of MCI WorldCom owns 17% of the firm. (Its limited operating
history, however, makes it, like most companies in the space, very
high risk.)

BIG Bandwidth, baby: A safer play in the same arena is fast-growing
Exodus Communications (EXDS). This Web-hosting outfit used to be
something of a secret, but the word is out now: It's considered the
monster stock in the group of companies that seek to take advantage
of the Internet outsourcing trend among large businesses.

Let's say you're Yahoo! (YHOO) and want to concentrate on being a
giant Web media company. You'd probably want someone else to
manage, maintain and keep secure the vast array of servers and
networking equipment that make it possible for consumers to hit your
sites 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Enter Exodus, which
provides this service for many of the largest names on the Net,
including Yahoo!, Microsoft (MSFT), GeoCities (GCTY) and Lycos
(LCOS). Trailing 12-month sales are smaller than Verio, $52 million
to $120 million, but growth is estimated to be much faster -- now
doubling or tripling each quarter -- and the company has become a
darling among institutional investors. The stock has a 52-week range
of $15 to $115 and now rests around $80.

Robertson Stephens senior analyst Rick Juarez notes that average
revenue per account at Exodus has jumped from $47,000 to
$133,000 in the past year, and bandwidth usage has raced from one
gigabit per second to an incredible 3 gigabits per second.

"Its clients come on board and immediately start to consume more
and more bandwidth," says Juarez. He compares the Web host to a
shopping mall, where one day you might see the parking lot half full,
and a week later it's packed, and the following week cars are lined up
waiting to get in: "Data traffic passing through this company is
enormous -- it's a great metric for the Internet overall."

Juarez adds that Exodus is virtually alone in the field, and investor
worries that large telephone companies will eventually become tough
competitors are "unwarranted" because they've largely been divesting
themselves of data centers, not adding them.