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To: Marty Rubin who wrote (4185)3/7/1999 10:43:00 PM
From: CHRISTINE  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4276
 
Rising cost of crude oil may signal the end of oversupply

03/07/99- Updated 06:14 PM ET

By Beth Belton, USA TODAY

Fill 'er up on cheap gas while you can.

Gasoline prices, which hit 20-year lows last month, are starting to
rise. By some estimates, prices could rise 25% over the next three
months.

Crude oil prices soared last week amid signs that the global energy glut
may be starting to subside.

Experts predict that oil prices could continue to rebound, which would
lead to higher gasoline prices as the USA's spring and summer vacation
driving seasons approach.

The national retail price for unleaded gasoline increased to an average
91.3 cents a gallon the last week of February, ending five consecutive
weeks of price declines, the Department of Energy said last week.

Crude oil prices have surged 17% the past three weeks. Volatile trading
is expected to continue, but the medium-term trend is probably higher,
says David Bellman, analyst at Houston-based Purvin & Gertz Crude Oil
and Refining Outlook newsletter.

Friday, west Texas intermediate, a benchmark blend, dipped 5 cents to
end the day at $13.30 after an exuberant week.

Bellman says crude oil prices could average $15 a barrel next quarter
vs. $12 a barrel so far this quarter. That's a 25% increase that could
quickly show up at gasoline pumps, experts say.

The bullish outlook was reflected in U.S. oil company stocks, which
jumped Friday. Shares of Exxon, Texaco, Mobil and Conoco hit two-week
highs.

"The fundamentals are improving, that's for sure," says Antoine Halff,
staffer at New York-based Petroleum Intelligence Weekly newsletter.

Those fundamentals include:
•Rising world demand as the U.S. economy chugs along and Asia shows
signs of recovery. Latin America has so far avoided economic disaster. •
Worldwide production falling faster than expected. The 11-member
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries continues to outproduce
its 24.4 million-barrel-a-day quota, but not by much. OPEC meets March
23 to discuss the quota.

U.S. supplies of crude oil have declined more rapidly than anticipated.