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Politics : Bill Clinton Scandal - SANITY CHECK -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Johnathan C. Doe who wrote (37147)	3/7/1999 3:12:00 AM
From: Neocon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 67261

On the other hand: Most of the opinion is soft, with only five percent willing to say that they definitely disbelieve Broaddrick, and fourteen percent convinced that she is telling the truth. Additionally, most people think that she isn't out to get Clinton, but came forward for personal reason (although it beats me what those could be except that he raped her). And Mr. Doe slides over this more recent poll, when asserting that the 54-34 breakdown translates into relative support for Dems vs. Reps (I paste it directly in): Suppose the election for president in the year 2000 were being held today, and you had to choose between Vice President Al Gore, the Democrat, and Texas Governor George W. Bush, the Republican. For whom would you vote -- Gore or Bush? George W. Bush 52% Al Gore 41 (Me again)---I do not deny that the finer breakdown shows that support for either is soft and changeable, by the way. Only the election is less predictable than Mr. doe thinks.

To: Johnathan C. Doe who wrote (37147)	3/7/1999 7:56:00 AM
From: JBL	Respond to of 67261

Jonathan, 1. As of 3 days ago, 44 % of US adults had not heard about the Broaddrick rape accusation. 2. When polled using the words "sexual assault" instead of rape, the percentage of people beleiving Broaddrick was 54 %. 3. MSNBC mentioned that a telephone poll of those who had seen the interview of Broaddrick indicated that 84 % of them believed her. On complex issues (and beleivability of a witness is one such issue), polls will be all over the place, as the wording of the questions can greatly affect the type of answers you get. I'm not even mentioning issues related to selection of sample set which can also cause extreme variance in results.