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To: djane who wrote (3306)3/8/1999 2:51:00 PM
From: djane  Respond to of 29987
 
*Iridium numbers fall short of target

rcrnews.com

March 8, 1999


By Antony Bruno

Based on first-quarter operating results projections, Iridium L.L.C. likely
will fall short of the revenue and subscriber addition targets stipulated in its
bank loan agreements, and the company said it expects to modify its
future milestones to avoid defaulting on its bank covenants.

While quarterly operating results often fall short of expectations, Iridium is
especially concerned because it relies on meeting pre-set milestones in
order to receive additional financing from its bank facilities—in particular,
its $800 million senior secured credit agreement.


The bank covenants require Iridium have at least $4 million of cash
revenues, $30 million of accrued revenues and 27,000 subscribers by
March 31. At the end of 1998, Iridium had about 3,000 subscribers and
few expect the figure to rise fast enough to meet its first-quarter target.

After initial news reports highlighted the situation, Iridium issued a
statement saying it currently is not in any discussions to change these
targets, but ‘‘we do expect that we will be working with our banks to
modify these milestones going forward.''

Standard & Poor's Corp. March 1 downgraded about $2.8 billion in debt
owed by corporate entities related to Iridium, lowered its speculative
grade corporate credit and secured bank loan debt ratings on Iridium
Operating L.L.C. and Iridium Capital Corp. to B- from B, and lowered its
senior unsecured debt rating to C+ from B-. It placed these ratings on
CreditWatch ‘‘with negative implications.'' However, S&P affirmed its
AA- rating on an unsecured bank loan from Motorola Inc., which has no
operational requirements.

In defense of its network, Iridium officials pointed to a lack of available
service and product—not lack of market demand—for the
lower-than-expected numbers.

Iridium is no stranger to start-up challenges. During the launch phase, it
experienced inoperable satellites and handset testing delays that led the
company to postpone its original September commercial activation
deadline. Once operational on Nov. 1, Iridium then found Motorola was
having handset manufacturing ramp-up issues, and Kyocera Corp. still
wasn't meeting its handset performance requirements.

Now that the handset problems have been resolved, the company said it
does not yet have the fully trained sales channels worldwide necessary to
quickly sell the product, an issue of ongoing concern.
[Is this anyway to run a business....]

‘‘We expect that, as more service providers begin actively selling Iridium
products and services over the next few weeks, Iridium's presence in the
market will increase,'' read the statement.

Iridium has played somewhat of a poker game in terms of the financing
question. From the get-go, Iridium had to meet deadlines in return for
additional funding. Its original $1 billion loan from Chase Manhattan Bank
was divided into four installments. During the launch phase, the company
was required to place a certain number of satellites in orbit before the
banks would loan it the money to launch more. For the final $250 million
installment, Iridium needed to secure the necessary licensing agreements to
cover 72 percent of its business plan and commercially activate the
network.

Some say the quality of Iridium's network was not at a level that would
stand up to mass-market demand under normal circumstances. But since
there was no competitive alternative, the company did so anyway to
receive its needed financing, figuring it could strengthen the network over
time before the next competitor entered the market.
[Unbelievable...]

For its part, Iridium tends to blame its problems on the incredible technical
and organizational challenges associated with building, operating and
selling a global voice network based on 66 low-earth-orbit satellites and
not to a lack of interest among users.

‘‘It is important to note that the causes of the delays in Iridium's
subscriber ramp-up have not been associated with the level of market
demand for our product,'' it said in the statement. ‘‘This is not an
indication of how Iridium will fare in the months ahead, nor does it affect
the company's ability to meet its debt payment obligations. We believe
our banks will agree and will continue to support the Iridium program.''

However, Iridium's share price fell from $27.31 on Feb. 25 to $19.50 at
press time, the week during which the first-quarter revelations and
subsequent speculation were revealed.

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March 8, 1999
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