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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Howard Feinstein who wrote (52309)3/9/1999 3:44:00 PM
From: rupert1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Howard: DELL, GTW, HWP and others all had falls similar to CPQ's recently. Nobody is saying that that is attributable to a slip of the tongue or phantom warning by their executives. They fell because they always do at this time of the year, because the market was in a correction and because DELL scared the analysts about the PC market when it slowed from 50% growth to 38%. The analyst's used the alleged CPQ guidance about January sales of PC's to confirm what was their predisposition anyway.

I think that the stock is now suffering from the conventional wisdom that it cannot rise until earnings confirm robust growth: that there are better short-term opportunities elsewhere: that the stock faces short-term risk. I think institutions are very interested in buying CPQ big but some of them are holding out until the last moment or until upward momentum is confirmed. I think that improvement should be confirmed by the last week of March.

Three years ago, CPQ fell from $51 to $37 in a couple of days. It took two weeks to get back to $39, another two or more to get to $41 then a move to $43 was quickly followed by $47. Within a couple of months of that it was $57 and by the end of the year even higher still with splits.