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Biotech / Medical : XOMA. Bull or Bear? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Chris Boylan who wrote (9048)3/9/1999 9:19:00 PM
From: aknahow  Respond to of 17367
 


"If you accept this at face value and interpret it literally
it supports the enrolling too many healthy people argument
and I think that's the best we can hope for at the moment."

The sickness factor is probably not correct. The Glascow scale has been in use for ages and given the clinical conditions presented by meningococcemia there is a good agreement on the state of the patients. Eight is not a low " too healthy" number.

"........doesn't it
seem like the most logical explanation is that the mortality
efficacy is bumping along between the target p value and chance?"

No, I have no doubt various DSMBs would say stop the trial as the results are not statistically significant. So not stopping means something worthwhile is being seen but XOMA would logically be afraid to halt the trial before reaching a target it had already agreed to with the FDA, when it has no way of knowing just how significant this :something" is.