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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ken Salaets who wrote (4456)3/10/1999 1:39:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9818
 
' Re: Neither reasonable nor prudent more options

Author: cory hamasaki
Email: kiyoinc@ibm.XOUT.net
Date: 1999/03/10
Forums: comp.software.year-2000

He's at it again; this time, the mad pomposity bomber strikes at Jim
Lord. Oh the humanity!

On Wed, 10 Mar 1999 01:12:15, belascoh@hotmail.com (Howard Belasco) wrote:

> zdnet.com
>
>
> March 9, 1999 3:28 PM ET
> Neither reasonable nor prudent
> By Howard Belasco, Enterprise

What pray tell, does the above title mean?

> Jim Lord (http://www.y2ktimebomb.com/Tip/Lord/lord9908.htm) proposed a 10
> point plan that he felt was "A Reasonable and Prudent Y2K Preparation
> Plan" and, among others, such recommendations as: "purchasing an
> assortment of non-hybrid seeds to provide you with a capability to grow
> food if things turn out really bad;" "hold enough cash for three months
> normal living expenses;" "Buy gold and silver coins", and "Get out of
> stocks, bonds and mutual funds." Finally, he suggests "Consider leaving
> population centers".
>
> When considering our Year 2000 preparations, the two worst things we
> could do would be:
>
> To do nothing. This would leave us totally unprepared.
>
> To panic, overreact or run away. This could create its own problems
> independent of Y2K.
> In times of uncertainty, it's always better to have a logical plan based
> on a set of reasonable expectations. People who are prepared don't panic.

This is Bellowing Baloney(tm). First of all, most people have not been
pushin' any panic button. I'm still in Worshington DeeCee. Paul Milne
has been tilling the Virginia red dirt for years. We are where we are.

Unfortunately, the underlying thought in Bellowing Howie's articles is
that he has a big-brain and can see the future clearly and accurately.

I don't mean to single Howie out, this sheer arrogance is characteristic
of the broomdoods. They start with the assumption that they know what
will happen and reason back from that to a one size-fits-all response.

The next WRP, the one that will go to subscribers as a print-only
edition, will discuss the range of futures (that is if I remember to
work on it.)

Here's the bottom line (so you free-loaders can keep on reading it
on the web or where ever.), there is no possibility of a good outcome.
There is a very high probability of something analogous to a year long
economic hurricane. There is a non-zero probability, perhaps 10 to 20%
(who the h*ll knows) of something like Northern Ireland, Bosnia,
Vietnam, Gettysburg (the civil war battle). There is some chance that
this will go InfoMagic.

The essential problem with the broomdood Bellowing is that they don't
factor in "the fog of war", "all battle plans last until the first shot
is fired", or "Generals are always preparing for the last war."

Listen up, s-smack, s-smack, this has never happened before. Industry
spent the last 15 years downsizing (giving itself both an staffing enema
and a lobotomy). We have the big-brains, arrogant pomposity bombers
like Ko-Skin-em (Ray So-Long, Glassman, Ratcliffe and *others*. )
running their yaps on subjects that they have no inkling about.

But there's more....

...snip...

> Hudson Marketing conducted a survey in two cities regarding panic buying.
> It found that people do not shop in preparation for a disaster until the
> disaster has unmistakably started - when the snow starts falling, the
> hurricane is less than a half day away, or the river is already over it's
> banks and the temperature on the melting snow covered mountains is high.
> All food store managers surveyed agreed that never, under any condition,
> has the general public purchased food more than a few hours ahead of an
> expected emergency, no matter how bad the disaster promised to be.

Whoa-whoa-whoa there. I spent the weekend with Hudson. His firm did
the research to find out how vulnerable we are. You doomers out there
know what the above paragraph *really* means. It means that unless we
can get the sheeple moving *now*, it will be horrible at the end of
December 1999.

> That is responsibility and prudence.
>
> Howard Belasco is a consultant specializing in Microsoft and Novell
> enterprise networking. He can be reached at howard-
> belasco@worldnet.att.net.

Lookit, I don't know if Jim Lord is right but you don't know that he's
wrong.

You know how dumb and cowlike your Yuppie neighbors are? Put that
together with Hudson's research. You'd better be ready to pull your
head in like a tortuga for at least a month.

..and if I'm wrong, maybe you'll have to eat fried spam and eggs a
couple days a week. When frying spam, use a glaze of mustard and sugar,
fry it until the sugar caramelizes. I like the eggs over-easy. Yes, I
know it's artery clogging but it's so good.

cory hamasaki 296 Days, 7,121 Hours, kiyoinc.com


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To: Ken Salaets who wrote (4456)3/10/1999 2:05:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Respond to of 9818
 
yourdon.com