SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Bill Clinton Scandal - SANITY CHECK -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Hensley who wrote (37602)3/10/1999 11:34:00 AM
From: Neocon  Respond to of 67261
 
Since you might easily have missed this, I will repost the full text of a piece I wrote that appeared in the Weekly Standard, in a somewhat edited form, under the title "Reading Reagan Right". It was a response to an ambivalent piece on Reagan by another neocon, Norman Podhoretz, the former editor of Commentary:
Reading Norman Podhoretz on Ronald Reagan, one is impressed with the lack of fundamental sympathy for the position of the man. It is actually rather painful. He relates an anecdote about a meeting in 1980 between the candidate and a gaggle of intellectuals, disaffected anti- Communist Democrats, most still regarding themselves as social
democrats. Reagan had been given the task of winning them over. Rather than selling the virtues of a strong defense , which they are presumed to agree with, he extols the utility of
public- private partnership. Rather than try to convince them that he was strong enough on Communism, when most intellectuals regarded him as a war monger, he tries to impress
them with his geniality and grasp of domestic policy. And Mr. Podhoretz, rather than understanding why Reagan might take such a tack, right or wrong, wonders at his performance, characterizing it as "wildly irrelevant" and "baby talk". Of course, in the end he condescends to give Reagan the benefit of the doubt (perhaps he was inadequately
briefed). Still, he finds many of Reagan's actions similarly incomprehensible, decides that
he is far more of a "conventional politician" than had been assumed, and finds him a somewhat mysterious person.
Intellectuals generally do not understand much about politics, even those whose interests are primarily political. It is not their bailiwick. The whole business of gaining
popular support, forging coalitions, trading votes, and having to make quick decisions in the fog of battle is foreign to them. Often it seems sordid, a business of pandering,
compromise, and trimming. Of course, for a politician to promote his cause, he must win, or at least gain yards in the larger scrimmage of politics. It is up to him to choose the principal members of his staff, make the large strategic decisions, and lead the charge. After that, he must rely upon his lieutenants and allies to do their part. Ronald Reagan understood that, at the end of the day, he was being paid for his judgment, and for his ability to lead. He knew how to set a legislative agenda, and get a
good portion of it passed. He knew how to get our NATO allies to allow the placement of intermediate range missiles, despite a massive European anti-nuclear movement. He knew
how to get liberals like Steve Solarz aboard in support of the dubious Afghan insurgents, and how to keep conservative support despite his willingness to negotiate with
Gorbachev. In short, he was a statesman, someone with a sense of the historical moment and his role within it.
Although Bill Clinton is often referred to as a great politician, he is in fact feckless,
except when campaigning. His first term was a disaster, a catalogue of managerial failure and political missteps that led to the Republican ascendancy within Congress and in the
states. With the advice of Dick Morris, and a large campaign war chest, he recovered his position and managed to win re- election. He squandered most of his political capital by the succession of scandals that has plagued his administration, and his continual need to play defense. He is the conventional politician, the mere careerist, who succeeds through a protean cunning. Reagan accomplished more in his first two years than Clinton will have
accomplished in two terms.
One reason for this is that Reagan knew that he could not accomplish everything, and that he must pick his battles wisely. He also knew that one inevitably makes mistakes, in the course of trying to anticipate and influence the flow of events, and that mistakes need not be fatal. Battles may be lost, but if the general trend is correct, the war will be won. He understood what many conservatives do not, that even the "Movement" is a coalition among social conservatives, libertarians, neo-conservatives, and plain vanilla
economic conservatives. He understood that the Republican party was an even broader coalition, including "country club Republicans", ex- Dixiecrats, "cloth coat Republicans"
from the Midwest, "gypsy moths" from the Northeast, and rabble- rousing Western insurgents. Some were conservative, some moderate, a few even liberal: they needed to be held together, insofar as possible, and to reach out to Democrats and independents.
Among the Reagan Democrats were neo-conservative policy wonks, Southern
evangelicals, and Northern urban Catholics. In short, he understood that politics is not about trumping arguments, but mobilizing support and getting votes from disparate, and
sometimes mutually antagonistic, groups.
But that is not all. With the House firmly in the hands of Democrats, and the Senate passing back and forth by slim majorities, Reagan needed to achieve a reasonable
amount of cooperation with the Democrats, sometimes through charm, sometimes through compromise, and sometimes by playing hardball. Only an equally masterful politician is in
much of a position to second guess his tactics on any given issue. Similarly, he needed to
re- energize the NATO alliance, in the face of growing neutralist sentiment and a certain doubt about his fitness among many of our allies. For this reason, he had to reassure as
well as challenge, and belie the image of a reckless cowboy that had been widely promoted by his enemies. He needed to win over some who were not natural allies, as in the
Congress.
Reagan was intelligent enough, but more importantly he had the instincts and experience which develop political talent. Had he been more ideologically truculent, he
would have lost his effectiveness, and the gains in economic and geopolitical restructuring that he bequeathed us might not have come about. Had he been less driven by the twin goals of reducing the burden of government, and rolling back the Soviet advance, he would have accomplished little except his own self- aggrandizement, like Bill Clinton.
History is messy, and not subject to laboratory conditions. It is difficult to establish clear lines of causality. However, liberals predicted that Reagan would exacerbate tensions with the Soviet Union, and provoke them into more aggressive behavior. Conservative
critics thought that he was going soft on the Soviets, thus strengthening the hand of the
Communists, and once again emboldening them to attempt foreign adventures, and to try to corrupt NATO. Neither set of critics came near to being correct. Indeed, some
conservatives are as adamant as any liberal that Reagan was merely lucky to come up against Gorbachev. The fact that virtually no one anticipated the fall of the Soviet Union within our lifetime except Reagan , and that he was right, has made little impression upon
them.
Reagan's supposed fecklessness in Reykjavik, criticized by liberals for blowing a deal on nuclear disarmament, and by conservatives for allowing the issue of disarmament onto the table, was a particularly masterful stroke. By making SDI the deal breaker, he
increased public support for missile defense, and scared the Soviets badly. For the first time, they truly took seriously the possibility that we would outspend them on missile
defense, and permanently alter the balance of power. That was the beginning of the end of the Soviet Union.
Similarly, the liberals predicted that the bill for Reaganomics would come due in
the '90's, and Democrats scared the electorate over a relatively mild recession in the last couple of years of the Bush administration. Well, the '90's came, and have been even more
prosperous then the '80's. All of that restructuring, those junk- bond financed start-ups, those leveraged buy outs, those predatory take- overs, those deregulations and tax-
abatements that were supposed to lead to a new age of the robber baron, create an even greater gulf between have and have- not, and remand all but the most educated to a life of
burger flipping, has instead lead to an economic boom that Clinton, notwithstanding his programmatic sterility, insists on taking credit for. (The next thing you know, he'll take credit for the end of the Cold War).
The most serious black mark against the administration, the Iran- Contra Affair, was not as bad as has been asserted. Reagan honestly thought that he was strengthening
the hand of supposed moderates in the Iranian regime, who might then persuade the regime to use its influence with the terrorists. He did not think of himself as trading arms
for hostages, since he did not think of himself as dealing with those responsible. He finally was brought to see that by selling arms to the regime in order to influence the outcome, he might very well motivate the sponsors of terrorism to support more hostage taking, in order to gain more leverage. Thus, in effect, he was violating the principal of refusing to negotiate with such people. He failed to see this in the first place because he was used to
thinking that he could "work" difficult situations politically---in other words, his own political success mislead him in this case. As for funding the contras, no President has accepted limitations on foreign policy of the sort the Boland amendment attempted, and Reagan felt that he had a moral obligation not to abandon the Contras while litigating the matter, so he used a slippery expedient to get around it. Actually, the diversion of profits from the arms sales to the Contras is the most defensible part of the business, as defensible as FDR's nonsense about Lend- Lease.
More broadly, Reagan was also a great force in American culture . He recalled to Americans, after the turmoil of the Sixties and the cynicism of the Seventies, after
Watergate, the hostage crisis, and the selling of declinism, their best ideals and aspirations, and energized them to step forward once again, confident that America could renew itself and meet the challenges of the times. He made people feel the noble sweep of our nation's history, and to feel, as he did, the call of destiny. It has been said that character is destiny, and he expressed the American character, which had led us to victory in the Second World
War, and to the noblest peace mankind had ever seen. He told us of an America that had fought at Normandy, and rebuilt Europe, and kept the tyranny of Communism at bay; an
America constantly struggling to live up to its ideals, but also one that has ideals of political freedom and human dignity to live up to. And we were encouraged, because he
was there to rally us, to resist decline and renew the promise of America. There is no great
mystery here, only a great man.





To: John Hensley who wrote (37602)3/10/1999 11:40:00 AM
From: Zoltan!  Respond to of 67261
 
>>Had only Reagan shown some balls and shut down the government for more than one day. I'm no fan of Clinton's but it just goes to show you what a great politician he is.

Not really. Just shows the power of the media.

Remember in the 1980's when the President vetoed the budget and the government was shut down the media blamed Ronald Reagan and focused on the horror stories of those unable to get services or checks.

In the 1990's the Rep Congress naturally assumed that Clinton would get blamed for shutting down the government when he vetoed the budget. Not so, the media went into overdrive blaming the Republicans.

The difference is that the vast majority of the electorate voted for Reagan twice while the vast majority of the media voted against him.

Similarly the majority of the electorate voted against Clinton twice and for the Republican Congress, while the vast majority of the media voted against the Republicans and for Clinton.

Ever wonder why there was no "gavel to gavel" saturation coverage of Clinton's impeachment? Heck, then the people might have paid attention and then the pro-Clinton media spin would have been so less effective. Surely that event was equally worthy of coverage than the Watergate hearings.

I almost believe the American people turned on Nixon because they wanted their TV's back.

Instead, the media "push-polled" people into accepting Clinton despite his manifest guilt.