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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: t2 who wrote (17836)3/12/1999 6:53:00 AM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 74651
 
Microsoft to Defer $400 Million in 3rd-Qtr Revenue
(Update7)

Bloomberg News
March 12, 1999, 12:35 a.m. PT

Microsoft to Defer $400 Million in 3rd-Qtr Revenue (Update7)

(Adds share prices, detail in 6th and 7th paragraph.)

Redmond, Washington, March 12 (Bloomberg) -- Microsoft
Corp., the world's biggest software maker, said it expects sales
to fall short of estimates in its current quarter as it defers
$400 million of revenue because of a delay in the introduction
of the Office 2000 word-processing and spreadsheet program.

Chief Financial Officer Greg Maffei said the $400 million
must be deferred from the fiscal third quarter ending March 31
because it can't be recognized until customers redeem coupons
for Office 2000 that were received when paying for Office 97.
Analysts were expecting about $4.65 billion in total revenue for
the quarter. The deferred revenue will be recognized in the
fourth quarter, Maffei said.

Office 2000 was originally expected to be in stores by the
end of March, though Microsoft said in November that the product
wouldn't be widely available until June because of continuing
development work. Reaction to the revenue shortfall is expected
to be more muted than for Dell Computer Corp., the top direct
seller of PCs, whose stock tumbled last month after reporting
that revenue rose less than expected.

''I don't see any negatives and it could end up being a
mild positive,'' said Bill Whitlow, a portfolio manager with
Safeco Northwest Fund, which owns Microsoft shares. ''Maybe
investment income will be a little higher than previously
thought.''

The revenue impact will reduce earnings per share by 8
cents in the third quarter but that will be offset by higher
than expected investment income, Maffei said. The company still
expects to meet consensus earnings estimates of 65 cents a share
in the third quarter because of those investment gains, he said.

Frankfurt-traded shares of Microsoft fell 1 percent to 147
euros. The statement was made after the close of regular U.S.
trading. Shares of Redmond, Washington-based Microsoft rose 1/16
to 161 7/16.

Microsoft will announce a reorganization next week, that
splits the company into four groups, the Wall Street Journal
Interactive edition reported. It is expected to name two
managers from its own ranks to head its Microsoft Network online
services.

Microsoft has a cash hoard of more than $19 billion.

Per-share earnings in the fourth quarter will be about 8
cents higher than analysts previously expected, Maffei said.

The revenue deferral means the third quarter will see the
biggest sequential drop in quarterly revenue in the company's
history. In the second quarter, revenue totaled $4.93 billion.

Among its upgraded features, Office 2000 relies more
heavily on the Internet than previous editions.

PC Demand

''The business is fine and (personal computer) demand is
definitely there,'' said Maffei. ''We are seeing the usual
seasonal trend in our business,'' he said. ''Nothing more or
less.''

The briefing by Maffei follows Wall Street nervousness
about Dell and Compaq Computer Corp. amid signs of slowing PC
shipments. The software powerhouse has a reputation for managing
analyst expectations to avoid unpleasant surprises.

Office 2000 is the next generation of the popular group of
word-processing and spreadsheet software. Analysts had expected
it to be widely available in stores in the March quarter after
the company said it would be released to CD-ROM manufacturers in
the March quarter.

Microsoft expects ''good customer demand'' for Office 2000,
Maffei said.

''This is not a very large contributor to Microsoft at this
point,'' said Brett Berry, a portfolio manager with Bailard,
Biehl & Kaiser, which owns shares in Microsoft. ''With Dell it
was a pretty big cylinder in their engine.''

The Office line of software products accounted for about a
third of Microsoft's total revenue of $14.5 billion in fiscal
1998, analysts estimate.

Maffei also said Microsoft is seeing its business in Japan
improve, though it may only be a cyclical improvement in demand
because of the end of the fiscal year.

''Japan does appear to be getting a little better,'' he
said.

Microsoft shares have doubled over the past year though
they're down from a record high of 175 on Jan. 29.

--Laura Raun in Seattle (206) 224-3173 and Greg Chang in the San

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