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To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (29898)3/13/1999 8:52:00 AM
From: Enigma  Respond to of 116764
 
Money/Japan


Talk : International : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets

| Previous | ------ | Respond |
To: Paul Berliner (1369 )
From: Greg Jung Saturday, Mar 13 1999 8:19AM ET
Reply # of 1384

Morning in Japan? The Dismal Science article

slate.com

...
But the events of the last few weeks suggest that there has been a sea change of opinion inside the Bank of Japan--a change similar to, but even more striking than, the abandonment of monetarism at the Fed during 1982. After years of warning about the risks of inflation and the importance of sound policy, the BOJ has suddenly begun flooding the market with liquidity. The overnight rate at which banks lend to each other--the equivalent of our "Fed funds" rate--has been driven down literally to zero. Banks now charge each other only for the administrative costs of making the loan. And still the expansion continues. It's still a bit hard to believe, but it looks as if Japan's central bank has been radicalized--that is, it has finally seen the light, has finally understood that in Japan's current state adhering to conventional notions of monetary prudence is actually dangerous folly, and only monetary policy that would normally be regarded as irresponsible can save the economy.






To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (29898)3/13/1999 3:00:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116764
 
Berkshire Hathaway Cut Citigroup Stake; Annual Letter Mum on Silver,
Bonds

Berkshire Hathaway Cut Its Citigroup Stake in 1998 (Update3)
(Adds Berkshire Hathaway stock performance vs. S&P 500 in
the 13th paragraph.)

Omaha, Nebraska, March 13 (Bloomberg) -- Billionaire
investor Warren Buffett cut his holdings in Citigroup, the
world's largest financial-services firm, according to his annual
letter to shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Buffett's letter, released this morning, also showed that he
bought shares of American Express Co. in 1998 and sold some of
his shares in Walt Disney Co., Freddie Mac and Wells Fargo & Co.

The world's second-richest man didn't say what he's done
with what he called last year his ''unconventional commitments''
-- investments in silver, oil and bonds.
''We have eliminated certain of the positions discussed last
year and added certain others,'' he wrote. Regulatory filings
last year showed Berkshire Hathaway sold $20 billion in zero-
coupon Treasury bonds.

Berkshire, an Omaha, Nebraska-based insurer and holding
company released its annual report, containing Buffett's letter
to shareholders, on its Web site, www.berkshirehathaway.com, at 8
a.m. New York time.

Silver, Oil

Berkshire said in February 1998 that the company had bought
129.7 million ounces of silver on a bet that demand would outpace
production, as it had for years, and send prices higher. Since
then, silver has fallen about 15 percent. The $650 million
investment represented about a quarter of the world's annual
output.

The company at the end of 1997 also owned $4.6 billion in
zero-coupon bonds and contracts on 14 million barrels of oil.
Those investments were unusual because Buffett, 68, made his name
buying stocks.

The letter lists Berkshire's stockholdings valued at $750
million or more as of Dec. 31. Investors closely follow Buffett's
views on individual stocks and the financial markets because of
his success.

Still, his reported positions may be misleading.

Berkshire said in a 1997 letter to the U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission that by the time the world learns about
Berkshire's holdings, Buffett may have long since changed course.
Buffett takes advantage of rules that let the company keep some
of those filings secret for at least 12 months.

Tough Year for Stocks

Overall, 1998 was a tough year for his stock picks, Buffett
said.
''Several of the public companies in which we have major
investments experienced significant operating shortfalls that
neither they nor I anticipated early in the year,'' Buffett
wrote. ''Consequently, our equity portfolio did not perform
nearly as well as did the S&P 500.''

That didn't hurt the performance of Berkshire's own shares,
which returned 52 percent last year vs. 29 percent for the S&P
500. Berkshire shares have lagged the benchmark index in only
four years since 1965, when Buffett took control of the company,
according to analyst Alice Schroeder of PaineWebber Inc.

Buffett said his portfolio changes last year hurt his
returns. ''In particular, my decision to sell McDonald's was a
very big mistake,'' he wrote. ''Overall, you would have been
better off last year if I had regularly snuck off to the movies
during market hours.''

Shares of McDonald's Corp., the world's largest restaurant
company, returned 62 percent last year. In the 1997 annual
report, the stock dropped from his list of top holdings, so it's
unclear how big a stake he had left in 1998.

Shareholdings

Of Buffett's largest holdings, American Express returned 16
percent, his $13.4 billion chunk of Coca-Cola Co. returned 1.3
percent and Gillette Co. lost 3.9 percent.

Buffett's letter contained no comments on the stock market
in general. He said this month on ABC's ''Nightline'' that
valuations remain ''high by historic standards.''

At the end of 1997, Berkshire Hathaway owned 23.7 million
shares of Travelers Group Inc., the insurer and owner of
investment bank Salomon Smith Barney Inc. Travelers and Citicorp
merged in October to form Citigroup. Travelers holders exchanged
each of their shares for one share in the new company, which
would have given Buffett a Citigroup stake valued at $1.56
billion at Friday's closing price.

Citigroup was absent from the list of stockholdings of $750
million or more. In 1998, Citigroup shares fell 7.7 percent.

Also, Berkshire's stake in American Express rose to 50.5
million shares from 49.5 million, while Freddie Mac dropped to
60.3 million from 63.9 million.

Berkshire said it owned 51.2 million Walt Disney shares as
of Dec. 31, down from 64.5 million shares a year ago, taking into
account a 3-for-1 stock split in July.

Berkshire last year reported that it held a Wells Fargo
stake with an initial cost of $412.6 million, though this year
that number had been trimmed to a stake with an initial cost of
$392 million. The actual number of shares Berkshire held was
inflated by Wells Fargo's merger with Norwest Corp.

Cash on Hand

Buffett said, as he has in past letters, that he and Vice
Chairman Charles Munger are having a hard time finding stocks to
invest in. He is one of the best-known ''value'' investors, those
who seek to buy stocks when they are temporarily out of favor or
selling at low price-to-earnings ratios.

Given the size of Berkshire Hathaway, the company must buy
big blocks of stock for an investment to make an appreciable
impact on the company.

Berkshire Hathaway had plenty of cash on hand to invest
with: More than $15 billion in cash as of Dec. 31, up from $9
billion in September.
''Charlie and I will continue our search for large equity
investments or, better yet, a really major business acquisition
that would absorb our liquid assets,'' Buffett wrote.
''Currently, however, we see nothing on the horizon.''

General Re

Some of that cash resulted from Berkshire Hathaway's
purchase of General Re Corp. in December for $16 billion. General
Re is the largest U.S. reinsurer, covering other insurers against
losses in return for a portions of their premiums.

Buffett said he asked General Re to sell its investments in
250 stocks once he was confident the merger would go through, a
''clean sweep'' that allowed Buffett and Munger to make their own
investing decisions. The tax bill alone on the stock sales was
$935 million, he said.

General Re and Berkshire Hathaway's other insurance
operations, including Kansas Bankers Surety and National
Indemnity, provide a steady stream of premiums for Buffett to
invest until the insurers must make payments to satisfy claims.

That premium stream is known as ''float,'' and its growth
may be modest in coming years because the market for reinsurance
''is soft,'' Buffett wrote. General Re now accounts for two-
thirds of Berkshire's float, he said.

Buffett became the world's second richest man by purchasing
and holding multibillion dollar stakes in a few stocks, such as
Coca-Cola, American Express and Gillette.

According to the letter, his holdings in Coca-Cola, Gillette
and the Washington Post Co. -- all valued at more than $750
million -- remain unchanged from the previous year.

Berkshire also owns many businesses outright, including
Dairy Queen, the Buffalo News and jewelry retailer Borsheim's.
The company's other big purchase last year beside General Re was
the $725 million acquisition of closely held Executive Jet Inc.,
which offers time-sharing in corporate jets.

An investment of $10,000 in Berkshire Hathaway in 1965 would
have been valued at $51 million on Dec. 31, compared with
$132,990 if the money had been invested in the Standard & Poor's
500 Index, according to PaineWebber's Schroeder.

Berkshire Hathaway Class A shares are up 15 percent this
year; they rose 4,900 to 80,300 yesterday. The Class B shares,
which represent 1/30th of an A share, are up 12 percent; they
rose 139 to 2,642 yesterday.

©1999 Bloomberg, LP. All rights reserved. Terms of Service and Trademarks.



To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (29898)3/14/1999 9:30:00 AM
From: goldsnow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116764
 
Lafontaine blames 'poor
teamwork'

Gerhard Schröder has been warned over looking to the right

Former German finance minister Oskar Lafontaine has
blamed poor "teamwork" for his decision to quit the
Government.

In his first public comments since his surprise
resignation on Thursday, Mr Lafontaine said: "The
reason for my resignation is the poor teamwork that we
provided in the last few months. When the team doesn't
play well together, the team has to be rebuilt."

He referred to criticism of his controversial business
taxation policies from with the ruling SPD-Green
coalition as an example of a lack teamwork in the
Government.

"Teamwork requires that you watch out for each other
and that you stick together, especially in public, and that
there is a spirit of teamwork.

'Heart is on the left'

Suggesting that disagreement over ideological direction
was also at the heart of a fallout between himself and the
Chancellor Schröder, Mr Lafontaine warned his Docial
Democratic Party that "the heart lies on the left, not in
the stock exchange."

"I wish the new team success in their work with Gerhard
Schröder," Mr Lafontaine added. Mr Schröder, the
German Chancellor, named Hans Eichel as the country's
new finance minister on Friday.

He has been in seclusion at his Saarbruecken home
after having refused to discuss his resignation with the
chancellor, emerging on Sunday for an interview with a
german television station.

Mr Lafontaine, nicknamed 'Red Oskar' by some for his
leftist leanings, has been at odds with German business
and some within his own party over 'anti-business'
policies which would have seen corporate taxes raised.
He was also outspoken on interest rates, leading calls
for the European Central Bank to cut eurozone interst
rates.

In the wake of Mr Lafontaine's departure, the German
Government has signalled a watering down of his
controversial tax plans.

Economic minister Werner Mueller said he expected the
new tax bill, which also allows for a new energy tax and
the closure of favourable tax loopholes for firms, would
reduce a proposed 40% corporate tax rate to "35% at
the most".
news.bbc.co.uk