Buffett Deplores Trend of Manipulated Earnings
March 15, 1999
By RICHARD A. OPPEL Jr.
The executives who run companies for Warren Buffett know that few things are as sure to anger the legendary investor as dishonesty about how their businesses are performing. So, too, has Buffett always promised the people he works for -- the shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. -- nothing less than total candor.
But accounting gimmicks and misrepresentations to investors have become so commonplace at public companies that it has prompted Buffett, in his annual report to shareholders, to make an extraordinary attack on many of his fellow chief executives, who he says have worked purposefully "at manipulating numbers and deceiving investors."
"Many major corporations still play things straight, but a significant and growing number of otherwise high-grade managers -- CEOs you would be happy to have as spouses for your children or as trustees under your will -- have come to the view that it's OK to manipulate earnings to satisfy what they believe are Wall Street's desires," Buffett wrote in Berkshire Hathaway's 1998 report, which was posted on the company's World Wide Web site over the weekend. "Indeed, many CEOs think this kind of manipulation is not only OK, but actually their duty."
The Berkshire report, eagerly anticipated every year by individual investors and professionals alike, provided few surprises about Berkshire's holdings or Buffett's investment outlook. It shows that he added slightly to holdings in American Express, now the company's second-largest equity investment after Coca-Cola, and that he trimmed holdings last year in Wells Fargo, the Walt Disney Co. and Freddie Mac.
He also sold much of what at year-end 1997 had been a nearly $1.3 billion stake in the Travelers Group, which later acquired Citicorp to form Citigroup. Shares of Citigroup fell 8 percent in 1998, but the company is not listed among Berkshire's equity investments worth more than $750 million.
Buffett criticizes himself for selling shares of McDonald's, which rose more than 60 percent last year. All in all, Berkshire sold about $4.9 billion in shares and other investments last year and bought about $1.9 billion, according to Berkshire's cash-flow statement.
"The portfolio actions I took in 1998 actually decreased our gain for the year," he wrote. "In particular, my decision to sell McDonald's was a very big mistake. Overall, you would have been better off last year if I had regularly snuck off to the movies during market hours."
He also kept quiet on whether Berkshire still owns the enormous silver hoard it disclosed last year and certain other nonequity investments, except to say, "We have eliminated certain of the positions discussed last year and added certain others."
What is clear is that Buffett would like to make another big acquisition, similar in size to the $22 billion purchase last year of the General Re Corp. He has raised Berkshire's acquisition criteria considerably: Buffett is now seeking companies with pretax income of at least $50 million -- it was $25 million last year -- at prices of up to $20 billion, twice as large as the uppermost limit he suggested last year. And there is plenty of money on Berkshire's balance sheet to pay for such purchases.
"The thing that really leaps off the page is the increase in cash to $15 billion, and the fact that management is clearly looking at much larger acquisitions," said Alice D. Schroeder, an analyst at Paine Webber. Buffett also says that although "cash never makes us happy," he and his partner, Charles T. Munger, have not found any big acquisition candidates that fit the bill.
With a single, big acquisition having become more important for Berkshire, Buffett's ire is rising at the accounting tricks increasingly used in mergers.
"These managers often say that their shareholders will be hurt if their currency for doing deals -- that is, their stock -- is not fully priced, and they also argue that in using accounting shenanigans to get the figures they want, they are only doing what everybody else does," Buffett wrote. "Once such an everybody's-doing-it attitude takes hold, ethical misgivings vanish."
Noting that one estimate of the tally for special charges and write-downs reported during 1998 exceeded $70 billion, Buffett lauded the efforts of Arthur Levitt, the Securities and Exchange Commission chairman, to end the practice of "earnings management."
Otherwise, he said, corporate financial results have no more credibility than bogus golf scores. This is no different, he continued, from a golfer reporting an atrociously high score for his first round -- say, 140 -- and then shooting 80s for the next few rounds by drawing down against the "reserve" established in the first round.
"On Wall Street," he remarked, "they will ignore the 140 -- which, after all, came from a 'discontinued' swing -- and will classify our hero as an 80 shooter (and one who never disappoints)."
Copyright 1999 The New York Times Company |