To: djane who wrote (3422 ) 3/16/1999 11:50:00 AM From: djane Respond to of 29987
North America to Trail in 3G Cellular Market Says New Study [G* reference] [Gives G* lots of time to pay for GS-1/GS-2 constellations] Business Wire - March 16, 1999 07:48 Jump to first matched term TEMPE, Ariz.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--March 16, 1999--New third-generation (3G) cellular wireless telephone technology is being developed to replace today's analog and digital cellular telephone systems with expanded capability and features. In addition to traditional voice, 3G cellular will also provide wireless data services at a speed of up to two megabits per second -- fast enough to support several channels of full-motion video and lightning-fast Internet access. 3G cellular service will be available in Japan within two years, followed by Europe and lastly by North America. That's the prediction of a new market study entitled "3G Cellular Market Opportunities" available from market research firm Forward Concepts and authored by Jack Quinn of Micrologic Research. The study provides regional terminal and infrastructure forecasts for Japan, Europe, and North America. The worldwide market for 3G cellular terminals will total $1.5 billion in the year 2001 and grow to $9.2 billion in 2005 the study predicts. It further predicts that the investment in infrastructure to support 3G cellular services will total $1.3 billion in 2001 and peak in 2003 at $5.3 billion. However, the report says that you shouldn't expect to use your 3G cellular handset as you travel from continent to continent -- at least not at first. The study forecasts that there will be a minimum of three different 3G cellular standards, and the first 3G terminals will work with only one of them. Europe will mandate the Wideband Code Division Multiple Access (W-CDMA) 3G technology that was developed by Ericsson. W-CDMA's chief competitor will be Qualcomm's cdma2000 technology. Japan's DoCoMo will employ W-CDMA while independent Japanese carriers will likely upgrade their existing cdmaOne systems to cdma2000. The third technology will be a time division multiple access (TDMA) system called UWC-136 that is designed to upgrade today's 2G TDMA systems. Because of existing infrastructure and technology alliances, all three technologies will be deployed in North America, the study predicts. International travelers will be able to stay in touch through satellite systems that will fill in where incompatible cellular systems are deployed or where no cellular service at all is available. Early satellite systems, such as Iridium and GlobalStar, will provide acceptable voice but only low-speed data communications. As 3G technology matures, multi-mode cellular terminals will be developed that will be able to connect with multiple cellular and satellite systems, and eventually satellite systems will be deployed that will support high-speed data communications from any point on Earth. Worldwide 3G roaming is predicted to appear after 2005. [C'mon G*, do it earlier...] In addition to regional forecasts for 3G infrastructure and terminal shipments though the year 2005, the study contains historical and forecast data on terminal shipments for today's analog and digital cellular technologies. It also discusses the 2G and 3G technologies and the activities of the major players that are developing 3G technology. Report No. 920, "3G Cellular Market Opportunities" consists of 114 pages and 71 tables and figures. It is available from Forward Concepts at a price of $1,695 in North America and $1,795 internationally. Forward Concepts (Tempe, Ariz.) can be reached by telephone at 602/968-3759, fax at 602/968-7145 or E-mail at info@fwdconcepts.com. More information about the study, including the table of contents and synopsis of findings, is on the Forward Concepts Web site atfwdconcepts.com CONTACT: Forward Concepts
Will Strauss, 602/968-3759 fwdconcepts.com