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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: BRAVEHEART who wrote (72)3/17/1999 1:16:00 AM
From: BRAVEHEART  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
OUT IN LEFT FIELD...

An interesting post I picked up at GELX...

messages.yahoo.com@m2.yahoo.com

In particular

"Then there's Immunex which languished for a short while in the 50's even after their arthritis drug approval before catching fire and it is now >150. I don't know about Immunex but Agouron had a lot of short players at it's nadir and a blistering negative article from "The Street.com" appeared in the low 20's which drove it to it's bottom. Anyone see any parallels here:) We of course had the negative article recently in the New England regional section of the WSJ which was totally full of misrepresentations and was obviously written with a lot of imput from the short sellers."

I noted the high short interest at GELX before I came upon this post. Then I reflected how SCIO had a similar situation. On the day of the panels approval the WSJ had a clip which emphasized an analyst which labeled SCIO as " already fairly valued". Again IMO this played into a similar high short position's hands.

Valuation is a funny word...

Jeffrey



To: BRAVEHEART who wrote (72)3/17/1999 12:57:00 PM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 52153
 
<I would include a companies cash burn in any valuation model.>

Yes, of course... I've got more time lately, I'll add a couple of "burn" columns and use annual numbers from the year end results that we have most of now. Problems in some cases of course because of programs eliminated or added changing burn, but we'll start with that number and adjust from there. :)

DAK