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To: BigBull who wrote (40160)3/17/1999 8:50:00 AM
From: SargeK  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Hey Bull,

We may get some broader exposure on Coopers/IBD new investment board. Check it out. You may wish to join.
clubs.yahoo.com

K



To: BigBull who wrote (40160)3/17/1999 9:09:00 AM
From: BigBull  Respond to of 95453
 
Is DOOMBerg becoming BOOMBerg?

Nah! These guys just can't bring themselves to write a totally bullish oil article (wrt: the last 4 paragraphs). Jeez, when oil goes to 18 bucks, these guys will still be talking: the glut, the glut, the glut.

Energy News
Wed, 17 Mar 1999, 8:54am EST

N.Y. Crude Oil Seen Rising as U.S. Gasoline Supplies Drop

London, March 17 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil is expected to
rise after a weekly report signaled a surge in U.S. gasoline
demand ahead of the spring driving season in the world's top oil-
consuming nation.

Crude oil for April delivery on the New York Mercantile
Exchange is expected to rise 25 cents from $14.46 a barrel.
Brent crude oil for May delivery rose as much as 36 cents, or
2.8 percent, to $13.04 a barrel on the International Petroleum
Exchange in London. Oil prices have climbed more than 25 percent
during the past month on hopes oil exporters will cut output.

The American Petroleum Institute said gasoline inventories
dropped 3 percent last week, the biggest decline in five months
as gasoline demand jumped 17 percent from a week earlier. A
separate, U.S. Department of Energy estimate later today could
confirm the API numbers.
''We've had a bullish trend over the past few weeks and
these figures are just what the market needed to go higher,''
said Stuart Deferia, a broker with ADM Investor Services
International Ltd.

Oil prices in New York last week reached $15.11 a barrel, a
five-month high, after producers announced a plan to idle more
than 2 million barrels of daily output.

Hit the Road

A drop in global oil production would come just as the
spring and summer travel season in the U.S. gains speed.
Gasoline demand, as derived from the report, last week surged 17
percent to 9.02 million barrels a day, the highest rate in 10
weeks, according to the API.

U.S. refineries are stepping up operations to meet the rise
in demand, with utilization increasing to 93.3 percent of
capacity from 93.1 percent, a move that could reduce crude oil
supplies in coming weeks.
''The implied demand figure is really quite good for this
time of year,'' said David Nesbitt, a broker with Prudential
Bache (Futures) Ltd. ''Oil is being burned and so it has to be
replaced.''

The 6.98 million-barrel drop in gasoline inventories was
larger than the 1.1 million-barrel to 200,000-barrel decline
predicted by analysts.

Inventories of distillate fuels, a group of products that
includes heating oil, also fell more than expected, leaving
supplies 7 percent or 8.53 million barrels higher than a year
earlier, according to the API. A week earlier, supplies were 15
million barrels or 12 percent above year-ago levels.

While crude oil supplies rose more than expected, 85
percent of the increase occurred west of the Rocky Mountains --
a region traders often discount because it isn't linked to the
rest of the U.S. by pipeline.

OPEC

Gains in oil prices were limited by concern producers could
fail to reach an agreement to cut output when the Organization
of Petroleum Exporting Countries meets March 23.

Oil exporters at a meeting in the Netherlands last week
announced a plan to cut production by at least 2 million barrels
a day, without giving any details of how those cuts would be
achieved.

Since then, OPEC members have provided conflicting
estimates of how the reductions will be achieved. An OPEC
delegate said Venezuela would cut production by 125,000 barrels
a day, though the Venezuelans said they will only cut only
75,000 barrels a day.

Similarly, the OPEC delegate said Indonesia would idle
93,000 barrels a day, while Indonesia has said it will cut
output by just 34,000 barrels.
''The only negative now is OPEC, where reports are
indicating they can't agree,'' Nesbitt said.



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