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To: Trader X who wrote (16317)	3/17/1999 12:52:00 PM
From: ~digs	Respond to of 17305

Yes, fully aware of the 90s baby-boom and excited about it too! Granted the post-war boomer generation caused by the soldier's biological 'need' resulted in the greatest per capita birth rate in our nation's history, the generation itself is just that much larger, fueling total birth rates for the years to come. On the average, women aren't having as many kids as they did back then, but the sheer amount of cumulative women to begin with is making up for the difference. There are more total kids born these days then there were even during the height of the late forties and early fifties. Things dropped off for quite a few years after this era, but as baby-boomers neared the age of majority their 'needs' kicked in too. Since practically no one practices zero population, total births continue to grow. Anyway, these new age boomers form the basis for another economic era of prosperity beginning in about 2030, barring any unforeseen world catastrophe or epidemic. The reason why I'm excited (pleased may be a more apt description), is that because I was born in 1977, I'll have the good fortune of being able to live in two such eras of an extremely high standard of living. To help exemplify part of what I'm saying, allow me to explain the chart which is instrumental in understanding Dent's theories. He constructed an overlaping graph with time on the x-axis for both models. On one slide was total births on the y-axis between the years of 1940 and 1970 (x-axis; the baby boom era). The overlaping slide had the S&P 500 on the y-axis, and for its time frame (x-axis), the length was the same, but the years had been casted out about 45 years to reflect the peak in spending I spoke of [an American's average peak in spending is between the ages of 44 and 46]. Put the two graphs on top of one another and you have an amazing correlation between the level of the S&P hundred and the total relative amount of births that occurred 45 years ago.